Who won the 15:02 Ascot on 11 July 2026?
Dr Rascal (GB) won the 15:02 Ascot at SP 5.00. Ridden by Kaiya Fraser. Trained by Oliver Cole.
15:02 Ascot
Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £15,462 · Saturday, 11 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stDr Rascal (GB)Kaiya Fraser·Oliver Cole4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndRising Tiger (IRE)Colin Keane·Andrew Balding·beaten 2.25 lengths6/4F·2.50SP
- 3rdMia Fantasia (IRE)David Probert·Hugo Palmer·beaten 3.75 lengths9/4·3.25SP
Race time
1m 26.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Dr Rascal (GB))
“startled by a loose horse and unseated before the start - set the pace throughout but had company - driven along to a slender advantage into the furlong marker and stayed on strongly to the line”
AI top-rated Guadalevin (score 51.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way51.9/100 rating
Guadalevin
10.00SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Guadalevin
George Wood · Charlie Fellowes · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 51.9 · +16.8 clear of next best (35.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong31d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 3-2
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight20weakCharlie Fellowes: 1/12 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketBest price 10.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 5th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.87
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 1.16
Today: Rising Tiger (draw 8) and Thanks Harry (draw 7) get the bias; Guadalevin (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Oliver Cole · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 33.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 2 | — | 35.1 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 33.0 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: George Wood · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 32 | 75 | 51.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: David Egan · T: Harry Charlton · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 0 | — | 15.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 6 2yo · C · b | — | — | 25.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 7 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 30.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5 2yo · C · b | — | — | 23.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Michael Bell · draw 9 2yo · C · b | — | — | 19.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:02 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Guadalevin) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:02 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Dr Rascal (GB) (5.00), 2. Rising Tiger (IRE) (2.50), 3. Mia Fantasia (IRE) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 15:02 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 26.27s.
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