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RacingAlpha

19:00 Chester

ESL Export Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 8 runners · £12,885 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    King's Code (GB)
    J F Egan·David Evans
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Nolton Cross (IRE)
    David Probert·Hugo Palmer·beaten 1.25 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Infraad (IRE)AI top pick · 63.6
    Harry Davies·William Haggas·beaten 0.05 lengths
    8/13F·1.62
    SP
Race time
2m 8.08s

Race time recorded.

In-running (King's Code (GB))

racing in the pack early - up into third with 3f to run - driven along over 1f out and full of running to hit the front close home

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way52.3/100 rating
Zgharta
7.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Wahdan

Wahdan is the pick for this Class 3 test over Chester's ten furlongs on good ground, taken ahead of the higher-rated King's Code on the strength of a progressive recent profile. King's Code remains the most obvious danger on the pure ratings, with Zgharta and Let's Dream both capable of running well on their own recent form. This is a tightly-bunched, competitive field and confidence in the selection is only low, but Wahdan's improving form makes the strongest case among a group with little to choose between them. Wahdan is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Infraad

Harry Davies · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 63.6 · +2.4 clear of next best (61.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    83very strong
    Last 6: 2-3-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    72d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    60average
    OR 90
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    William Haggas: 12/56 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 2.28 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 1m2½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.23).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.23
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.97
High (7–8)
IV 0.76

Today: Infraad (draw 3) and Nolton Cross (draw 2) get the bias; Patagonia Girl (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 48 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: J F Egan · T: David Evans · draw 1
6yo · G · bv
680005
9239.8
18/1·19.00
SP
26
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2
7yo · G · br
440895
8547.5
25/1·26.00
SP
38
J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 3
3yo · C · b
231
9063.6
8/13F·1.62
SP
44
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
4yo · F · b
54060
8652.3
15/2·8.50
SP
55
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4
3yo · C · ch
181
9561.2
6/1·7.00
SP
63
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
5yo · G · b
53086
8947.5
33/1·34.00
SP
72
J: Ross Coakley · T: Michael Bell · draw 6
5yo · G · b
38110
9253.6
11/1·12.00
SP
87
J: Rowan Scott · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 8
4yo · F · b
02175
8350.0
9/1·10.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Chester on 10 July 2026?

King's Code (GB) won the 19:00 Chester at SP 19.00. Ridden by J F Egan. Trained by David Evans.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Infraad) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. King's Code (GB) (19.00), 2. Nolton Cross (IRE) (26.00), 3. Infraad (IRE) (1.62).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Chester?

The winning time was 2m 8.08s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org