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16:24 Chester

Excell Supply Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 6 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/1·3.00
  1. 1st
    Grasmere Boy (GB)AI top pick · 63.6
    Dylan Hogan·Julie Camacho
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Art Lover (IRE)
    Harry Davies·William Haggas·beaten 1 length
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Polka Blue (IRE)
    Jason Watson·Charles Hills·beaten 2.75 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
1m 13.29s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Grasmere Boy (GB))

led throughout - roused along 1f out - ran on strongly to score

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way63.6/100 rating
Grasmere Boy
5.50SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Kind Touch

Kind Touch is the clear selection, sitting well clear at the top of our figures with the form to match. Confidence is high given the strength of that overall picture. Inca Heights, Cotai Lights and Art Lover are the main dangers, each with solid recent form of their own, but Kind Touch's class edge should prove decisive.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Grasmere Boy

Dylan Hogan · Julie Camacho · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 63.6 · +9.1 clear of next best (54.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    89very strong
    Last 6: 2-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Julie Camacho: 4/26 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 5.50 (SmarketsSBK) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.38
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.89
High (7–8)
IV 0.69

Today: Grasmere Boy (draw 1) and Kind Touch (draw 3) get the bias; Sargent Dennis (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1
3yo · G · b
221
8563.6
2/1·3.00
SP
21
J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 2
2yo · C · bt
92187
8548.5
5/1·6.00
SP
35
J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 6
3yo · F · b
43113
7854.5
7/1·8.00
SP
44
3yo · G · b
1237
8252.8
15/8F·2.88
SP
57
J: David Allan · T: Craig Lidster · draw 5
3yo · C · bt
27104
7742.6
12/1·13.00
SP
63
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Clive Cox · draw 4
3yo · G · b
92000
8248.5
12/1·13.00
SP
J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 8
3yo · G · chp
339400
7840.6
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Jack Channon · draw 7
3yo · G · b
5221
7450.1

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:24 Chester on 11 July 2026?

Grasmere Boy (GB) won the 16:24 Chester at SP 3.00. Ridden by Dylan Hogan. Trained by Julie Camacho.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:24 Chester?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Grasmere Boy, won the race (AI score 63.6).

What were the placings in the 16:24 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Grasmere Boy (GB) (3.00), 2. Art Lover (IRE) (6.00), 3. Polka Blue (IRE) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:24 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 13.29s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org