Who won the 14:10 Chester on 11 July 2026?
Secret Mistral (GB) won the 14:10 Chester at SP 3.00. Ridden by Myla Coppins. Trained by Tony Carroll.
14:10 Chester
John Smith's Handicap
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 11 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 2/1J·3.00Race report
- 1stSecret Mistral (GB)AI top pick · 57.3Myla Coppins·Tony Carroll2/1J·3.00SP
- 2ndKnicks (IRE)Laura Pearson·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 1.75 lengths6/1·7.00SP
- 3rdAlfa Duplicate (IRE)Sean D Bowen·Ivan Furtado·beaten .75 lengths2/1J·3.00SP
Race time
1m 0.36s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Secret Mistral (GB))
“Led from the start - driven out with a furlong left - stayed on well for the win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way57.3/100 rating
Secret Mistral
5.10Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Miraculous
Miraculous is the selection, sitting at the top of our figures on the back of one of the sharpest speed figures in this sprint. Alfa Duplicate, Intervention and The Flying Seagull are the chief dangers, each with plenty to recommend them on recent form, in a race that looks wide open. Confidence in the pick is low given how tightly this field is bunched, but Miraculous just shades it on our overall figures.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Secret Mistral
Myla Coppins(7) · Tony Carroll · 6yo
Top-rated of 12
score 57.3 · +2.3 clear of next best (54.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 2-2-3-8-2
- Trainer20% weight55averageTony Carroll: 11/51 winners last 14d (22%)
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 5.10 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chester 5f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.38
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.89
High (10–13)
IV 0.69
Today: Secret Mistral (draw 2) and Beauzon (draw 3) get the bias; Miraculous (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Myla Coppins(7) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 2 6yo · M · ch | 22382 | 75 | 57.3 | 2/1J·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 13 | J: Laura Pearson · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 8 5yo · G · b | 675364 | 62 | 41.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 113166 | 74 | 45.1 | 2/1J·3.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Jack Doughty · T: Clare Hobson · draw 4 5yo · G · ch | 62250 | 68 | 38.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 6 6yo · G · b | 147432 | 71 | 45.4 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ian Williams · draw 7 6yo · G · ch | 36479 | 67 | 40.7 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Harry Davies · T: Michael Appleby · draw 11 9yo · G · b | 040087 | 69 | 41.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 12 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Joseph Parr · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 14786 | 70 | 38.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 4yo · G · btv | 330489 | 67 | 41.1 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: Jason Watson · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 12 4yo · G · bb | 46403 | 70 | 44.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Ian Williams · draw 3 7yo · G · b | 111116 | 72 | 54.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 9 3yo · G · bt | 01374 | 71 | 49.0 | — |
| — | — | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 13 4yo · G · b | 559357 | 71 | 44.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:10 Chester?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Secret Mistral, won the race (AI score 57.3).
What were the placings in the 14:10 Chester?
Top finishers: 1. Secret Mistral (GB) (3.00), 2. Knicks (IRE) (7.00), 3. Alfa Duplicate (IRE) (3.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:10 Chester?
The winning time was 1m 0.36s.
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