14:39 York

John Smith's Racing Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 13 runners · £23,193 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3/1J·4.00

1st
The Lost King (GB)AI top pick · 62.2
P J McDonald·Andrew Balding
3/1J·4.00
SP
2nd
Mr Swivell (GB)
Ray Dawson·Kevin Philippart De Foy·beaten 1.25 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP
3rd
Checkandchallenge (GB)
Rossa Ryan·William Knight·beaten 2.75 lengths
8/1·9.00
SP

Race time

1m 37.59s

Race time recorded.

In-running (The Lost King (GB))

“Sat behind the pace - moving comfortably - was roused to go on 2f out and pulled clear - driven 1f out and continued firmly to the line - had matters in hand throughout”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way62.2/100 rating

The Lost King

7.50William Hill

Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Checkandchallenge

Checkandchallenge sits on top of our figures in this competitive race and is a fair type to place trust in on pure form, despite an inconsistent scoreline to date. Cerulean Bay and Cosi Bello both rate close behind and look the most likely to turn it into a close finish, with Apiarist also in the shake-up. Confidence is low given how tightly this field is rated, but Checkandchallenge remains our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

The Lost King

P J McDonald · Andrew Balding · 4yo

Top-rated of 13

score 62.2 · +0.2 clear of next best (62.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
23d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
64average
OR 96
Trainer20% weight
53average
Andrew Balding: 14/68 winners last 14d (21%)
Form20% weight
49below average
Last 6: 1-2-1-3-4-0

MarketBest price 7.50 (William Hill) · 3rd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.22

Mid (6–9)

IV 1.06

High (10–13)

IV 0.71

Today: The Lost King (draw 4) and David Of Athens (draw 1) get the bias; First Principle (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	7	The Lost King J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 4yo · G · b	121340	9-07	96	—	—	62.2	3/1J·4.00 SP
2	10	Mr Swivell J: Ray Dawson · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 12 5yo · G · b	20704	9-01	90	—	—	49.6	9/1·10.00 SP
3	3	Checkandchallenge J: Rossa Ryan · T: William Knight · draw 7 7yo · G · b/brp	39060	9-11	100	—	—	51.4	8/1·9.00 SP
4	8	Khafiz J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 6 4yo · G · b	93500	9-05	94	—	—	46.2	50/1·51.00 SP
5	6	Tuscan Hills J: Rob Hornby · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 5 4yo · G · b	70600	9-07	96	—	—	48.0	40/1·41.00 SP
6	4	Cosi Bello J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 13 4yo · G · ch	12410	9-08	97	—	—	52.9	11/2·6.50 SP
7	11	Bragbor J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8 5yo · G · b	24770	8-11	86	—	—	46.3	33/1·34.00 SP
8	2	Cerulean Bay J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 9 5yo · G · b	03425	10-02	105	—	—	62.1	3/1J·4.00 SP
9	13	Gentle George J: Cam Hardie · T: R Mike Smith · draw 2 3yo · C · b	11600	8-08	92	—	—	51.5	66/1·67.00 SP
10	5	Apiarist J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 10 5yo · G · b	413060	9-08	97	—	—	48.8	14/1·15.00 SP
11	12	New Image J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 3 6yo · G · b	63057	8-11	86	—	—	49.6	14/1·15.00 SP
12	9	First Principle J: Jason Hart · T: William Haggas · draw 11 4yo · G · btp	21006	9-04	93	—	—	55.0	20/1·21.00 SP
13	1	David Of Athens J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 1 4yo · G · b	64110	10-02	105	—	—	52.3	8/1·9.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:39 York on 11 July 2026?

The Lost King (GB) won the 14:39 York at SP 4.00. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:39 York?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, The Lost King, won the race (AI score 62.2).

What were the placings in the 14:39 York?

Top finishers: 1. The Lost King (GB) (4.00), 2. Mr Swivell (GB) (10.00), 3. Checkandchallenge (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:39 York?

The winning time was 1m 37.59s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org