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18:50 Hamilton

Rocca Restaurant & Ora Bar Hamilton Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Iris Dancer (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Tristan Davidson
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Ashen (IRE)
    Rhys Elliott·Jim Goldie·beaten 0.1 lengths
    15/8J·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ingleby Archie (IRE)AI top pick · 62.9
    Jack Garritty·Adrian Nicholls·beaten 1.75 lengths
    15/8J·2.88
    SP
Race time
1m 9.97s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Iris Dancer (GB))

Tracked the pace - urged along and pushed into contention with two furlongs left - hit the front in the last furlong and narrowly prevailed

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Eartha

Eartha is much the biggest figure in this Hamilton race and gets the vote as our selection, our rating seeing considerably more in her than her modest recent finishes suggest, even allowing for a near year-long absence. Not Me and Ingleby Archie head the dangers on our figures, while Ashen also has claims a little further back. Confidence is low given how sharp Eartha's layoff makes this hard to call, but she's given the nod on the strength of our figures.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ingleby Archie

Jack Garritty · Adrian Nicholls · 5yo

Top-rated of 6
score 62.9 · +5.6 clear of next best (57.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    73small sample (n=7)
    Adrian Nicholls: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 0-4-3-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 3.75 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.19
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.00
High (5–6)
IV 0.79

Today: Ashen (draw 1) and Eartha (draw 2) get the bias; Ingleby Archie (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Connor Beasley · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 3
8yo · M · bb
061216
6557.3
4/1·5.00
SP
24
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1
4yo · G · ch
773134
6747.2
15/8J·2.88
SP
31
J: Jack Garritty · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 5
5yo · G · b
04321
7262.9
15/8J·2.88
SP
42
J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Alan Brown · draw 4
5yo · G · b
95501
7140.9
9/2·5.50
SP
53
4yo · F · b
0809
7032.7
33/1·34.00
SP
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 6
3yo · G · bv
708421
6847.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:50 Hamilton on 11 July 2026?

Iris Dancer (GB) won the 18:50 Hamilton at SP 5.00. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Tristan Davidson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:50 Hamilton?

No — the AI top pick (Ingleby Archie) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 18:50 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. Iris Dancer (GB) (5.00), 2. Ashen (IRE) (2.88), 3. Ingleby Archie (IRE) (2.88).

What was the winning time for the 18:50 Hamilton?

The winning time was 1m 9.97s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org