Who won the 15:00 Goodwood on 28 July 2026?
Lake Forest (GB) won the 15:00 Goodwood at SP 1.91. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by William Haggas.
15:00 Goodwood
FeatureHkjc World Pool Lennox Stakes (Group 2)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 8 runners · £113,420 · Tuesday, 28 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stLake Forest (GB)Cieren Fallon·William Haggas10/11F·1.91SP
- 2ndRogue Diplomat (IRE)AI top pick · 73.3Harry Davies·James Owen·beaten 0.3 lengths16/1·17.00SP
- 3rdWitness Stand (GB)Kieran Shoemark·Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole·beaten .75 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
1m 26.15s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Lake Forest (GB))
“Held up towards the back - shifted left and driven for progress 2f out - up into fourth inside the final furlong - finished strongly to score late”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way68.5/100 rating
Marvelman
10.00SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Lake Forest
Lake Forest is our selection at Goodwood, rated 124 and eight pounds the best of this eight-runner field on our figures. Witness Stand, Marvelman and Qirat are the chief dangers, occupying second, third and fourth on our figures, but none closes that gap. Selection confidence is high, and Lake Forest looks the one to beat in this Class 1 contest.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rogue Diplomat
Harry Davies · James Owen · 4yo
Top-rated of 8
score 73.3 · +3.2 clear of next best (70.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight90very strongJames Owen: 15/42 winners last 14d (36%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong41d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight69strongOR 104
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 1-2-5-7-1
MarketBest price 19.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 6th in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Goodwood 7f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.15).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.15
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.07
High (7–8)
IV 0.77
Today: Poet Master (draw 2) and Marvelman (draw 1) get the bias; Rogue Diplomat (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 4 5yo · G · ch | 20715 | 119 | 66.6 | 10/11F·1.91 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 8 4yo · C · b | 12571 | 104 | 73.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 3 5yo · G · btp | 00826 | 111 | 59.4 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Colin Keane · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5 5yo · G · cht | 70471 | 109 | 64.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 7 6yo · G · gr | 33163 | 110 | 58.1 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1 4yo · C · b | 31092 | 114 | 68.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 22537 | 108 | 70.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 6 3yo · C · bt | 84015 | 100 | 50.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Goodwood?
No — the AI top pick (Rogue Diplomat) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:00 Goodwood?
Top finishers: 1. Lake Forest (GB) (1.91), 2. Rogue Diplomat (IRE) (17.00), 3. Witness Stand (GB) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:00 Goodwood?
The winning time was 1m 26.15s.
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