Who won the 15:00 York on 22 August 2026?
Notable Speech (GB) won the 15:00 York at SP 3.25. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Charlie Appleby.
15:00 York
FeatureSky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 14 runners · £340,260 · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 9/4F·3.25Race report
- 1stNotable Speech (GB)AI top pick · 79.3William Buick·Charlie Appleby9/4F·3.25SP
- 2ndLake Forest (GB)Cieren Fallon·William Haggas·beaten 2.75 lengths6/1·7.00SP
- 3rdMarvelman (IRE)P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.1 lengths18/1·19.00SP
Race time
1m 24.91s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Notable Speech (GB))
“Tracked pace early - urged into contention 2f out then hit front approaching final furlong - stayed on strongly to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Ten Bob Tony
Ten Bob Tony rates 2 lb below the two top-rated runners Lake Forest and Satono Reve on these figures, yet his progressive profile gives reason to believe that gap is closing and may already have been bridged come race day over this seven furlongs on good-to-soft ground at York. Lake Forest and Satono Reve are the obvious dangers alongside the unexposed Notable Speech, who sits just a pound behind our selection, but a horse still improving can often outrun a static figure. Ten Bob Tony is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Notable Speech
William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 5yo
Top-rated of 14
score 79.3 · +3.0 clear of next best (76.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight95very strongCharlie Appleby: 9/24 winners last 14d (38%)
- Ratings50% weight83very strongOR 124 — highest combined rating in the field
- Freshness10% weight65strong67d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 1-1-4-1-6
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — York 7f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.22
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.06
High (11–14)
IV 0.71
Today: Notable Speech (draw 1) and Satono Reve (draw 4) get the bias; Paborus (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1 5yo · H · ch | 11416 | 124 | 79.3 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 5 5yo · G · ch | 71517 | 118 | 69.7 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 4yo · C · b | 10926 | 114 | 63.6 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 5yo · G · ch | 48114 | 121 | 66.0 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 5 | 14 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 2 3yo · C · ch | 11425 | 118 | 66.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 13 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11 3yo · C · baybrownpFT P | 11460 | 113 | 63.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 12 4yo · C · b | 25712 | 113 | 69.1 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: James Doyle · T: Edward Bethell · draw 13 5yo · G · b | 1131 | 113 | 76.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Joao Moreira · T: Noriyuki Hori · draw 4 7yo · H · bt | 91223 | 119 | 72.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 10 5yo · M · b | 91011 | 111 | 70.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 11 | 11 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 14 3yo · C · b | 113 | 113 | 63.7 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 12 | 12 | J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 7 3yo · C · b | 27441 | 110 | 61.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 13 | 3 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6 5yo · G · bvFirst after wind op | 15271 | 110 | 64.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 14 | 6 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 4yo · C · b | 8517 | 115 | 61.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 York?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Notable Speech, won the race (AI score 79.3).
What were the placings in the 15:00 York?
Top finishers: 1. Notable Speech (GB) (3.25), 2. Lake Forest (GB) (7.00), 3. Marvelman (IRE) (19.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:00 York?
The winning time was 1m 24.91s.
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