15:00 York

Feature

Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 14 runners · £340,260 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Notable Speech

No. 4 · score 80.3 · +1.0 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.70

Drawn 1, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Marvelman

26·26.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair (consensus 21.09)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way80.3/100 rating

Notable Speech

4.70Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Ten Bob TonyDiffers from our pick

Ten Bob Tony rates 2 lb below the two top-rated runners Lake Forest and Satono Reve on these figures, yet his progressive profile gives reason to believe that gap is closing and may already have been bridged come race day over this seven furlongs on good-to-soft ground at York. Lake Forest and Satono Reve are the obvious dangers alongside the unexposed Notable Speech, who sits just a pound behind our selection, but a horse still improving can often outrun a static figure. Ten Bob Tony is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Notable Speech

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 5yo

Top-rated of 14

score 80.3 · +1.0 clear of next best (79.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Charlie Appleby: 11/26 winners last 14d (42%)
Ratings50% weight
83very strong
OR 124 — highest combined rating in the field
Freshness10% weight
65strong
67d since last run (rusty)
Form20% weight
62average
Last 6: 1-1-4-1-6

MarketBest price 4.70 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(4)
2Marvelman 8Satono Reve 9Ten Bob Tony 12Power Blue
Mid-division(1)
5Paborus
Hold-up / closers(2)
1Lake Forest 6Powerful Glory
Unknown(7)
3Native Warrior 4Notable Speech 7Rogue Diplomat 10Flora Of Bermuda 11Lifeplan 13Puerto Rico 14Zavateri

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 7f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.22

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.06

High (11–14)

IV 0.71

Today: Notable Speech (draw 1) and Satono Reve (draw 4) get the bias; Paborus (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 91 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Notable SpeechPick J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1 · combo 14/48 (29%) 5yo · H · ch	11416	9-08	124	—	—	80.3	9/2·5.37	4.7·4.70 Matchbook · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook4.7·4.70Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70Smarkets4.6·4.60William Hill7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 7Bet10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 BetMGM16/5·4.20 BetTom3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00
5	Paborus J: James Doyle · T: Edward Bethell · draw 13 5yo · G · bOnly pairing	1131	9-08	113	—	—	79.3	20/1·21.09	27·27.00 Betfair Exchange · +28% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange27·27.00Matchbook27·27.00Smarkets26·26.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Quinn Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00
8	Satono Reve J: Joao Moreira · T: Noriyuki Hori · draw 4 7yo · H · btOnly rideOnly runner	91223	9-08	119	—	—	72.2	14/1·14.89	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50 BetMGM12/1·13.00Smarkets13·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00
10	Flora Of Bermuda J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 10 · combo 22/104 (21%) 5yo · M · bOn last winning markCD	91011	9-05	111	—	—	70.3	14/1·14.89	15·15.00 Betfair Exchange All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange15·15.00Smarkets15·15.00Matchbook15·15.00BetMGM12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00
1	Lake Forest J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 5 · combo 15/71 (21%) 5yo · G · ch1lb below win markD	71517	9-08	118	—	—	69.7	7/1·8.06	7.2·7.20 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook7.2·7.20Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20Smarkets7·7.00BetMGM6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Unibet11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Paddy Power11/2·6.50
7	Rogue Diplomat J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 12 · combo 5/20 (25%) 4yo · C · b	25712	9-08	113	—	—	69.6	14/1·14.89	15.5·15.50 Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50Matchbook15.5·15.50Smarkets15·15.00SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00
9	Ten Bob Tony J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 · combo 20/139 (14%) 5yo · G · chDOnly runner	48114	9-08	121	—	—	67.0	7/1·8.06	7.2·7.20 Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20Matchbook7.2·7.20Smarkets7·7.00Bet3656/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 10 Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Unibet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50
3	Native Warrior J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6 · combo 25/104 (24%) 5yo · G · bvFirst after wind opOn last winning markD	15271	9-08	110	—	—	66.9	50/1·50.87	65·65.00 Betfair Exchange · +28% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange65·65.00Matchbook65·65.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00
14	Zavateri J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 2 · combo 13/120 (11%) 3yo · C · chOnly runner	11425	9-03	118	—	—	66.8	7/1·8.06	7.4·7.40 Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40Smarkets7.2·7.20Matchbook7.2·7.20LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00
12	Power Blue J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 7 · combo 0/18 (0%) 3yo · C · bDOnly runner	27441	9-03	110	—	—	66.0	28/1·28.53	40·40.00 Matchbook · +40% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook40·40.00Betfair Exchange40·40.00Smarkets38·38.00SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Paddy Power22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00
13	Puerto Rico J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11 · combo 31/95 (33%) 3yo · C · baybrownpFT P	11460	9-03	113	—	—	65.5	20/1·21.09	24·24.00 Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange24·24.00Matchbook24·24.00Smarkets23·23.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00
11	Lifeplan J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 14 · combo 6/68 (9%) 3yo · C · b	113	9-03	113	—	—	63.7	40/1·42.18	90·90.00 Smarkets · +113% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets90·90.00Matchbook90·90.00Betfair Exchange85·85.00 SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00
2	Marvelman J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 · combo 10/54 (19%) 4yo · C · bOnly pairing	10926	9-08	114	—	—	63.6	20/1·21.09	26·26.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook26·26.00Betfair Exchange25·25.00Smarkets25·25.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00
6	Powerful Glory J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 4yo · C · b	8517	9-08	115	—	—	62.4	50/1·50.87	55·55.00 Matchbook · +8% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Betfair Exchange50·50.00Smarkets50·50.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–29 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)?

The Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1) is off at 15:00 on 22 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 York?

7f, Class 1, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:00 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Notable Speech (score 80.3, best price 4.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:00 York?

The market favourite is Notable Speech at a best price of 4.70.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org