17:02 Fairyhouse

Ireland

Winter Festival Early Bird Handicap

6f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €8,835 · Friday, 12 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Midnight Dusk (GB)
W J Lee·Jack Foley
13/2·7.50
SP
2nd
Nakamura (IRE)
Patrick McGettigan·J P Murtagh·beaten .5 lengths
4/1F·5.00
SP
3rd
Stone Bear (IRE)AI top pick · 60.9
Nicola Burns·Ross O'Sullivan·beaten .5 lengths
5/1·6.00
SP

Race time

1m 15.24s+3.04s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Stone Bear

Nicola Burns(5) · Ross O'Sullivan · 3yo

Top-rated of 12

score 60.9 · +3.7 clear of next best (57.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
15d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
78strong
Last 6: 1-7-1-3-1
Ratings50% weight
51average
OR 76
Trainer20% weight
50average
Ross O'Sullivan: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Fairyhouse 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.10).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.08

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.81

High (10–13)

IV 1.10

Today: Venetian Star (draw 12) and Breaking Dawn (draw 10) get the bias; Joyful Tidings (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 47 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Midnight Dusk J: W J Lee · T: Jack Foley · draw 4 3yo · C · gr	13359	9-11	77	—	—	43.0	13/2·7.50 SP
2	2	Nakamura J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 2 3yo · G · bb	14878	10-01	81	—	—	45.4	4/1F·5.00 SP
3	5	Stone Bear J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 1 3yo · F · b	17131	9-10	76	—	—	60.9	5/1·6.00 SP
4	7	Nazario J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 5 3yo · G · b	33726	9-09	75	—	—	42.0	8/1·9.00 SP
4	8	Joyful Tidings J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 8 3yo · G · ch	77502	9-08	74	—	—	46.7	8/1·9.00 SP
6	12	Coincidental Glory J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 3 3yo · G · ch	20504	9-01	67	—	—	36.6	8/1·9.00 SP
7	13	Absoluteassignment J: Gavin Ryan · T: Anthony Mullins · draw 6 3yo · G · bt	0772	8-12	64	—	—	39.1	16/1·17.00 SP
8	6	All The Girls J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 11 3yo · F · bp	27063	9-09	75	—	—	45.5	16/1·17.00 SP
9	4	Sovereign Cry J: Shane Foley · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 9 3yo · G · b	21046	9-11	77	—	—	40.1	14/1·15.00 SP
10	9	Venetian Star J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 12 3yo · G · bp	27433	9-07	73	—	—	57.3	8/1·9.00 SP
11	1	Breaking Dawn J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 10 3yo · C · bp	4410	10-01	81	—	—	52.2	8/1·9.00 SP
12	11	Unidos J: Leigh Roche · T: Mark Fahey · draw 7 3yo · G · btFT T	508	9-06	72	—	—	36.0	50/1·51.00 SP
—	—	Dancing Saxon J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 13 3yo · F · b	30461	9-06	72	—	—	47.3	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:02 Fairyhouse on 12 June 2026?

Midnight Dusk (GB) won the 17:02 Fairyhouse at SP 7.50. Ridden by W J Lee. Trained by Jack Foley.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:02 Fairyhouse?

No — the AI top pick (Stone Bear) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 17:02 Fairyhouse?

Top finishers: 1. Midnight Dusk (GB) (7.50), 2. Nakamura (IRE) (5.00), 3. Stone Bear (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:02 Fairyhouse?

The winning time was 1m 15.24s, 3.04s slower than standard.

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