18:45 Fairyhouse

Ireland

Pat's Carpets Race

7f · Flat · Good · 6 runners · €10,897 · Friday, 12 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner

1st
Cowardofthecounty (IRE)
Declan McDonogh·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
7/4F·2.75
SP
2nd
Queen Of The Bogs (IRE)
Shane Foley·John Joseph Murphy·beaten 2 lengths
10/1·11.00
SP
3rd
Tina's Indian (IRE)
Gavin Ryan·Mark Fahey·beaten .5 lengths
11/4·3.75
SP

Race time

1m 28.76s+2.66s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Ocean's Breath

Colin Keane · G M Lyons · 3yo

Top-rated of 6

score 70.9 · +14.4 clear of next best (56.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
G M Lyons: 9/22 winners last 14d (41%)
Freshness10% weight
70strong
7d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
66strong
Last 6: 2-4-1-9-1
Ratings50% weight
61average
OR 92

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Fairyhouse 7f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.01

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.16

High (7–9)

IV 0.84

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 36 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Cowardofthecounty J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 9 4yo · G · bt	59082	9-11	99	—	—	54.3	7/4F·2.75 SP
2	7	Queen Of The Bogs J: Shane Foley · T: John Joseph Murphy · draw 3 4yo · F · b	718	9-09	92	—	—	53.3	10/1·11.00 SP
3	1	Tina's Indian J: Gavin Ryan · T: Mark Fahey · draw 4 5yo · G · brtFT T	31404	10-00	92	—	—	45.9	11/4·3.75 SP
4	5	Tolebi J: N G McCullagh · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 2 4yo · G · b	43000	9-11	92	—	—	49.4	40/1·41.00 SP
5	3	Love Billy Boy J: Gary Carroll · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 1 5yo · G · b	12909	9-11	90	—	—	50.5	9/2·5.50 SP
6	4	Moss Tucker J: W J Lee · T: K J Condon · draw 6 8yo · G · bt	00006	9-11	99	—	—	54.3	4/1·5.00 SP
—	—	Ocean's Breath J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 8 3yo · C · brt	24191	9-04	92	—	—	70.9	—
—	—	Frescobaldi J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 5 3yo · G · b	15350	9-04	94	—	—	47.5	—
—	—	Zodiac Bear J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 7 4yo · G · b	0134	9-11	103	—	—	56.5	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:45 Fairyhouse on 12 June 2026?

Cowardofthecounty (IRE) won the 18:45 Fairyhouse at SP 2.75. Ridden by Declan McDonogh. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:45 Fairyhouse?

No — the AI top pick (Ocean's Breath) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 18:45 Fairyhouse?

Top finishers: 1. Cowardofthecounty (IRE) (2.75), 2. Queen Of The Bogs (IRE) (11.00), 3. Tina's Indian (IRE) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 18:45 Fairyhouse?

The winning time was 1m 28.76s, 2.66s slower than standard.

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