16:33 Down Royal

IrelandFeature

BOYLE Sports Ulster Derby (Premier Handicap)

1m5f · Flat · Soft · 9 runners · €58,900 · Saturday, 20 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th

1st
Madbadanddangerous (IRE)
Gavin Ryan·Noel Meade
18/1·19.00
SP
2nd
Pierre Grosse (GB)
Keithen Kennedy·Mrs John Harrington·beaten .75 lengths
10/1·11.00
SP
3rd
Bay Of Stars (GB)
Chris Hayes·D K Weld·beaten 1 length
6/1·7.00
SP

Race time

2m 54.28s+7.78s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated New Zealand (score 62.8) finished 9th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

New Zealand

Jack Cleary(5) · A P O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 62.8 · +4.3 clear of next best (58.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
35d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
67strong
OR 101 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
53average
A P O'Brien: 9/42 winners last 14d (21%)
Form20% weight
51average
Last 6: 1-4-5-4-3

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 1m5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.92

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.31

High (8–10)

IV 0.81

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	8	Madbadanddangerous J: Gavin Ryan · T: Noel Meade · draw 7 3yo · G · b	21327	8-09	83	—	—	54.4	18/1·19.00 SP
2	10	Pierre Grosse J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 5 3yo · G · ch	36324	8-07	81	—	—	56.4	10/1·11.00 SP
3	7	Bay Of Stars J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 9 3yo · C · bpFT P	612	8-09	83	—	—	51.3	6/1·7.00 SP
4	5	Huff'n'puff J: Declan McDonogh · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 4 3yo · G · b	6351	8-11	85	—	—	54.9	7/1·8.00 SP
5	6	Mergus Serrator J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 8 3yo · G · b	644	8-10	84	—	—	46.2	7/2J·4.50 SP
6	2	Shosholoza J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 10 3yo · C · b	1586	9-12	100	—	—	56.2	17/2·9.50 SP
7	4	Harmani J: Robert Whearty · T: G M Lyons · draw 6 3yo · G · gr	27321	8-11	85	—	—	58.5	7/2J·4.50 SP
8	3	Trojan Fighter J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 1 3yo · C · chtpFT TP	4514	9-02	90	—	—	53.2	12/1·13.00 SP
9	1	New Zealand J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 3yo · C · bpFT P	14543	9-13	101	—	—	62.8	6/1·7.00 SP
—	—	Wyman J: Nathan Crosse · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 3 3yo · C · cht	553	8-07	81	—	—	51.0	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:33 Down Royal on 20 June 2026?

Madbadanddangerous (IRE) won the 16:33 Down Royal at SP 19.00. Ridden by Gavin Ryan. Trained by Noel Meade.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:33 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (New Zealand) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 16:33 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Madbadanddangerous (IRE) (19.00), 2. Pierre Grosse (GB) (11.00), 3. Bay Of Stars (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:33 Down Royal?

The winning time was 2m 54.28s, 7.78s slower than standard.

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