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RacingAlpha

Hon. Alderman Malcolm Wood Memorial Nursery

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,757 · Thursday, 2 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Holi Scarlett (IRE)
    Jack Doughty·Stuart Williams
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Past Passion (GB)
    Rowan Scott·Jonathan Portman·beaten .5 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Undercover Affair (IRE)
    J F Egan·David Evans·beaten 0.2 lengths
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
Race time
1m 0.89s+3.69s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Holi Scarlett (IRE))

Raced prominently on the near side - made headway around 2f out - shifted left on taking second place over 1f out - ran on strongly to lead close home

AI top-rated Seed Ya Later (score 54.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Wait Geordie

Wait Geordie tops our ratings for this five-furlong opener and, despite a forgettable latest run in a visor at Beverley, his earlier form at this trip on good ground makes him the one to beat on his handicap bow. Undercover Affair is a consistent danger, going down by a neck in his latest outing and stepping up in a first-time visor, while Seed Ya Later and Holi Scarlett are well-regarded types entering handicap company with upside. Wait Geordie is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Seed Ya Later

Edward Greatrex · Jack Channon · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 54.3 · +2.8 clear of next best (51.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    51d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    76strong
    Last 6: 2-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 69
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Jack Channon: 2/13 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.90
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.04
High (6–7)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Jack Doughty · T: Stuart Williams · draw 6
2yo · F · ch
763
6441.7
100/30·4.33
SP
27
J: Rowan Scott · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 5
2yo · F · ch
723
6447.0
14/1·15.00
SP
32
J: J F Egan · T: David Evans · draw 1
2yo · G · grvFT V
422142
7847.5
5/2F·3.50
SP
44
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 7
2yo · F · b
472
6851.5
13/2·7.50
SP
55
J: Cieren Fallon · T: J S Moore · draw 3
2yo · F · b
340
6741.3
9/1·10.00
SP
63
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Jack Channon · draw 4
2yo · F · ch
213
6954.3
11/2·6.50
SP
71
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2
2yo · G · b
138
8051.5
5/1·6.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Nottingham on 2 July 2026?

Holi Scarlett (IRE) won the 15:00 Nottingham at SP 4.33. Ridden by Jack Doughty. Trained by Stuart Williams.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Seed Ya Later) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 15:00 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Holi Scarlett (IRE) (4.33), 2. Past Passion (GB) (15.00), 3. Undercover Affair (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 0.89s, 3.69s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org