Who won the 14:05 Newmarket (July) on 4 July 2026?
Mythical Bay (IRE) won the 14:05 Newmarket (July) at SP 5.00. Ridden by Callum Hutchinson. Trained by Andrew Balding.
14:05 Newmarket (July)
Betway Bet 10 Get 40 Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £51,540 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stMythical Bay (IRE)Callum Hutchinson·Andrew Balding4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndMagnetude (GB)Robert Havlin·James Owen·beaten 0.05 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdHard To Believe (IRE)Jason Watson·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
2m 55.03s−0.57s vs std
Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.
AI top-rated Lopeo (score 65.3) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way63.2/100 rating
Mythical Bay
9.00Midnite
Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Lopeo
LOPEO's placed efforts read well given how that form has since worked out, and he backed it up with another solid run last time, giving him strong claims to confirm that promise here. ARC OLE OLE, who had posted a hat-trick beforehand, ran on well from off the pace last time on a track that made things hard for hold-up horses, and rates the biggest threat now this longer trip should suit. HEROICS also strengthens his claims, doing no more than needed in front when stepped up in trip last time, while MAGNETUDE cannot be ignored either on our figures. On the balance of form, LOPEO gets the vote as our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Lopeo
Hector Crouch · David Menuisier · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 65.3 · +2.1 clear of next best (63.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 4-1-5-2-2
- Trainer20% weight68strongDavid Menuisier: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 84
MarketBest price 3.55 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5 3yo · G · ch | 21231 | 87 | 63.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Robert Havlin · T: James Owen · draw 3 3yo · C · bp | 31218 | 90 | 62.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 61171 | 83 | 59.6 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Luke Morris · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 4 3yo · C · b | 51115 | 89 | 56.6 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: David Egan · T: Alan King · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 42241 | 74 | 54.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 02590 | 88 | 49.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Hector Crouch · T: David Menuisier · draw 7 3yo · G · gr | 41522 | 84 | 65.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:05 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Lopeo) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 14:05 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Mythical Bay (IRE) (5.00), 2. Magnetude (GB) (15.00), 3. Hard To Believe (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:05 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 2m 55.03s, 0.57s faster than standard.
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