18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 9h 24m19:08Worcester

Betway Lancashire Oaks (Fillies' & Mares' Group 2)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £93,572 · Saturday, 4 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Tattycoram (GB)
    Edward Greatrex·Ralph Beckett
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tiffany (IRE)AI top pick · 70.4
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 4.5 lengths
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Caught U Sleeping (IRE)
    David Egan·Noel Meade·beaten 1.25 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
2m 26.47s−3.43s vs std

Notably fast — strong race time, solid form line.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way62.0/100 rating
Tattycoram
9.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Tiffany

Tiffany has been agonisingly consistent, runner-up in each of her last four starts, most recently when beaten only a narrow margin on her reappearance in a listed race after a string of placed efforts at the top level. A first-time visor is added to help her focus, and with that experience now banked she looks well placed to find the small extra needed to get her head in front. Miss Justice, who finished not far behind her last time, and Lava Stream, dropping back in trip today, look the principal dangers, while the progressive Caught U Sleeping, already improved by a step up in distance, rounds out the contenders to note. Tiffany's class edge and untapped potential make her our selection, with a competitive race in prospect.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Tiffany

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 6yo

Top-rated of 9
score 70.4 · +4.8 clear of next best (65.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2-2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    75strong
    OR 112 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 2/13 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 2.08 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.30
High (7–9)
IV 0.82

Today: Lady Dora Mae (draw 5) and Caught U Sleeping (draw 6) get the bias; Tiffany (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 9
4yo · F · b
43351
9862.0
11/2·6.50
SP
26
6yo · M · bvFT V
2222
11270.4
5/4F·2.25
SP
37
J: David Egan · T: Noel Meade · draw 6
3yo · F · ch
68812
10255.5
4/1·5.00
SP
43
J: Joe Leavy · T: Brian Meehan · draw 4
5yo · M · btFT T
15284
10152.5
16/1·17.00
SP
51
4yo · F · btpFT TP
22355
10161.8
12/1·13.00
SP
68
J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 5
3yo · F · b
182122
9465.7
16/1·17.00
SP
72
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 2
5yo · M · gr
29654
9855.3
11/1·12.00
SP
89
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1
3yo · F · ch
313U
9259.5
22/1·23.00
SP
94
J: Tom Marquand · T: George Boughey · draw 3
4yo · F · bpFT P
71427
9655.3
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:40 Newmarket (July) on 4 July 2026?

Tattycoram (GB) won the 14:40 Newmarket (July) at SP 6.50. Ridden by Edward Greatrex. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:40 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Tiffany) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:40 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Tattycoram (GB) (6.50), 2. Tiffany (IRE) (2.25), 3. Caught U Sleeping (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:40 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 2m 26.47s, 3.43s faster than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org