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RacingAlpha

16:00 Curragh

Ireland

Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (Group 1)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · €240,000 · Sunday, 9 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/4F·2.25
  1. 1st
    Sun Goddess (IRE)AI top pick · 72.6
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Folsom Blues (IRE)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 1.25 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Velozee (IRE)
    W J Lee·P Twomey·beaten .5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 9.67s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Sun Goddess (IRE))

“Settled at the back early - driven into contention approaching 2f out and hit the front with a furlong left - driven out to assert inside the final 150 yards”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Celeron

Celeron arrives at the Curragh on a progressive profile that makes him more appealing than his third-place rating suggests, and on good-to-firm ground over six furlongs he has every chance of running past the higher-rated pair above him. Carry The Flag heads the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed, while Sun Goddess and Tribeca both represent live threats in what looks a competitive Class 1 sprint. That said, a horse still moving through the gears offers the most compelling case when the form of those above him may be more exposed. **Celeron** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sun Goddess

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 72.6 · +0.6 clear of next best (72.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    91very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    43d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    69strong
    OR 103
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    A P O'Brien: 7/30 winners last 14d (23%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.03
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.84
High (7–8)
IV 1.12

Today: Celeron (draw 8) and The Scallionator (draw 7) get the bias; Tribeca (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
Sun Goddess
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2
2yo · F · b
2121
10372.6
5/4F·2.25
SP
23
Folsom Blues
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5
2yo · C · b
312
10366.8
15/2·8.50
SP
38
Velozee
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 6
2yo · F · b
11483
9769.2
11/1·12.00
SP
41
Carry The Flag
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1
2yo · C · b
212917
9864.9
33/1·34.00
SP
56
Tribeca
J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 4
2yo · C · b
102
10372.0
22/1·23.00
SP
65
The Scallionator
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 7
2yo · C · b
42104
10057.0
100/1·101.00
SP
72
Celeron
J: Oisin Murphy · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 8
2yo · C · b
101
11265.2
6/4·2.50
SP
84
King Of Cloughan
J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3
2yo · C · b
4212
10266.3
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Curragh on 9 August 2026?

Sun Goddess (IRE) won the 16:00 Curragh at SP 2.25. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Curragh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Sun Goddess, won the race (AI score 72.6).

What were the placings in the 16:00 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Sun Goddess (IRE) (2.25), 2. Folsom Blues (IRE) (8.50), 3. Velozee (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 9.67s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org