Who won the 16:10 Limerick on 19 June 2026?
Motta Alta (IRE) won the 16:10 Limerick at SP 12.00. Ridden by Nathan Crosse. Trained by Jarlath P Fahey.
16:10 Limerick
IrelandTwilight Racing Summer Series Maiden (Div I)
7f · Flat · Soft · 16 runners · €7,657 · Friday, 19 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stMotta Alta (IRE)Nathan Crosse·Jarlath P Fahey11/1·12.00SP
- 2ndElusive Path (IRE)Robbie Colgan·G M Lyons·beaten .5 lengths5/2·3.50SP
- 3rdTourin (IRE)Seamie Heffernan·J A Stack·beaten 2.5 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
1m 35.53s+8.63s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
AI top-rated Final Boss (score 45.9) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Final Boss
Ben Coen · Matthew J Smith · 3yo
Top-rated of 16
score 45.9 · +10.9 clear of next best (35.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 83 — highest combined rating in the field
- Freshness10% weight45below average240d since last run (long absence)
- Form20% weight36below averageLast 6: 9-3-5
- Trainer20% weight33small sample (n=8)Matthew J Smith: 1/8 winners last 14d (13%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Limerick 7f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–6)
IV 1.24
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.63
High (13–17)
IV 1.09
Today: Blue Orquidea (draw 1) and Elusive Path (draw 3) get the bias; Final Boss (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | J: Nathan Crosse · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 2 3yo · F · ch | 6 | — | 12.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: G M Lyons · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 3 | — | 31.0 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 16 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 11 3yo · F · b | — | — | 35.0 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 15 4yo · F · b | 704 | 67 | 34.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: Michael J Browne · draw 1 3yo · F · b | — | — | 35.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 6 | 13 | J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 14 3yo · F · b | 4 | — | 21.5 | 5/4F·2.25 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 16 3yo · G · b | — | — | 27.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 5 | — | 19.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Rory Cleary · T: K A Heffernan · draw 9 3yo · G · b | — | — | 25.0 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: Ben Coen · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 12 3yo · G · bbFT B | 935 | 83 | 45.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 11 | 10 | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 0 | — | 15.5 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
| 12 | 12 | J: Robert Whearty · T: P Cluskey · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 09 | — | 10.8 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
| 13 | 15 | J: James Ryan · T: Seamus G O'Donnell · draw 5 3yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 14 | 7 | J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 17 3yo · G · chtpFT TP | 0 | — | 18.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 15 | 9 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Eoin Griffin · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 9 | — | 12.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 16 | 1 | J: Jamie Powell · T: Gerard Kyne · draw 13 4yo · F · b | — | — | 25.0 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · G · ch | 00 | — | 14.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Limerick?
No — the AI top pick (Final Boss) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 16:10 Limerick?
Top finishers: 1. Motta Alta (IRE) (12.00), 2. Elusive Path (IRE) (3.50), 3. Tourin (IRE) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:10 Limerick?
The winning time was 1m 35.53s, 8.63s slower than standard.
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