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RacingAlpha

17:50 Limerick

Ireland

Ballyduane Stud Fillies Handicap

1m · Flat · Soft · 6 runners · €8,835 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Spanish Temptress (IRE)
    Keithen Kennedy·Richard John O'Brien
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tofino (IRE)
    Robert Whearty·Gavin Cromwell·beaten 2 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Anvika (IRE)
    Robbie Colgan·Ms Sheila Lavery·beaten 1.25 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 56.31s+16.41s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Una Matata

Adam Caffrey · Adrian McGuinness · 5yo

Top-rated of 6
score 47.8 · +0.5 clear of next best (47.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 71
  • Form20% weight
    43below average
    Last 6: 7-7-1-6-3-5
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Adrian McGuinness: 3/27 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Limerick 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.63
High (7–8)
IV 1.09

Today: Fratas (draw 2) and Gloriously Glam (draw 3) get the bias; Una Matata (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
4yo · F · gr
632024
8244.2
13/8F·2.62
SP
27
J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 4
4yo · F · b
30975
6537.0
11/2·6.50
SP
33
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 8
5yo · M · cht
08003
7335.6
4/1·5.00
SP
48
J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 7
6yo · M · bv
701520
6442.7
11/2·6.50
SP
54
4yo · F · chp
048138
7244.9
12/1·13.00
SP
62
6yo · M · ch
0244
7947.3
5/1·6.00
SP
——
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 5
5yo · M · b
771635
7147.8—
——
4yo · F · rot
02306
7239.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:50 Limerick on 19 June 2026?

Spanish Temptress (IRE) won the 17:50 Limerick at SP 2.62. Ridden by Keithen Kennedy. Trained by Richard John O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:50 Limerick?

No — the AI top pick (Una Matata) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 17:50 Limerick?

Top finishers: 1. Spanish Temptress (IRE) (2.62), 2. Tofino (IRE) (6.50), 3. Anvika (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:50 Limerick?

The winning time was 1m 56.31s, 16.41s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org