20:30 Down Royal

Ireland

Laura Nicholas Memorial Handicap

7f · Flat · Soft · 10 runners · €5,900 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner

1st
Alex Belardo (IRE)
Donagh O'Connor·John C McConnell
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Toy Soldier (IRE)
Leigh Roche·Maurice Andrew Ahern·beaten .5 lengths
5/1·6.00
SP
3rd
Lady Kelly (IRE)
Yudish Geerdharry·J P Murtagh·beaten 0.1 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

1m 32.05s+5.95s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Royal County Glory

Top-rated of 10

score 58.2 · +5.8 clear of next best (52.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=4)
Kevin Michael Smith: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
18d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
41below average
Last 6: 4-3-1-5-9
Ratings50% weight
40below average
OR 60 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 7f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)

IV 0.82

Mid (7–12)

IV 1.36

High (13–17)

IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 37 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Alex Belardo J: Donagh O'Connor · T: John C McConnell · draw 15 5yo · G · chv	333562	10-00	58	—	—	39.3	12/1·13.00 SP
2	7	Toy Soldier J: Leigh Roche · T: Maurice Andrew Ahern · draw 13 4yo · G · bb	00004	9-08	52	—	—	38.8	5/1·6.00 SP
3	11	Lady Kelly J: Yudish Geerdharry(7) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 5 3yo · F · bb	8986	9-05	58	—	—	36.0	12/1·13.00 SP
4	5	Pete's Dream J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 14 4yo · G · b	60689	9-10	54	—	—	31.5	17/2·9.50 SP
5	8	Dervo Annie J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 2 3yo · F · b	08721	9-07	60	—	—	47.2	100/30F·4.33 SP
6	4	Hot To Foxtrot J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: John James Feane · draw 17 6yo · M · bp	00543	9-10	54	—	—	35.6	5/1·6.00 SP
7	9	Concaire J: Chris Hayes · T: Richard John O'Brien · draw 11 3yo · G · bh	70862	9-06	59	—	—	33.5	4/1·5.00 SP
8	6	Ukiyo J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Andrew Kinirons · draw 16 5yo · M · b	720203	9-10	54	—	—	40.0	6/1·7.00 SP
9	15	Stonyfalls J: Killian Leonard · T: Paul Traynor · draw 4 3yo · F · b	08096	8-12	51	—	—	38.9	40/1·41.00 SP
10	10	Zephron J: Adam Grant(7) · T: Anthony McCann · draw 10 9yo · G · bp	00070	9-06	50	—	—	26.0	22/1·23.00 SP
11	13	Rock Etoile J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: Patrick J McKenna · draw 8 8yo · G · bpFT P	000030	8-11	41	—	—	23.5	33/1·34.00 SP
—	—	Royal County Glory J: · T: Kevin Michael Smith · draw 3 3yo · G · ch	43159	9-07	60	—	—	58.2	—
—	—	Brains J: · T: R Donohoe · draw 9 10yo · G · btb	50426	10-01	59	—	—	37.4	—
—	—	Miqdaad J: Jessica O'Gorman(7) · T: John C McConnell · draw 1 6yo · G · grp	70280	8-11	41	—	—	27.5	—
—	—	Blue Anthem J: Scott McCullagh · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 12 4yo · G · bt	95008	10-02	60	—	—	30.1	—
—	—	Mullacash Buzz J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Thomas Dowling · draw 7 8yo · G · btp	30046	8-10	40	—	—	26.4	—
—	—	Roman Harry J: Killian Leonard · T: S M Duffy · draw 6 6yo · G · bp	44730	9-11	55	—	—	52.4	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:30 Down Royal on 19 June 2026?

Alex Belardo (IRE) won the 20:30 Down Royal at SP 13.00. Ridden by Donagh O'Connor. Trained by John C McConnell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (Royal County Glory) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 20:30 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Alex Belardo (IRE) (13.00), 2. Toy Soldier (IRE) (6.00), 3. Lady Kelly (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:30 Down Royal?

The winning time was 1m 32.05s, 5.95s slower than standard.

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