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RacingAlpha

14:00 Ayr

Supporting Ayr Racecourse, The John Cocking Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £6,480 · Monday, 13 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Weleyff (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Love Rome (IRE)
    Jason Hart·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1 length
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mr Minz (IRE)AI top pick · 30.5
    Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten .5 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
1m 28.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Weleyff (IRE))

“up in third early - struggled to live with the pace 3f out - roused soon after - kept on well final furlong - went to the front near the finish and pulled clear for a comfortable success”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Mr Minz

Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 30.5 · +2.0 clear of next best (28.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    38d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Iain Jardine: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 16.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 5th in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.06
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.92
High (5–5)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Weleyff
J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2
2yo · C · b
3
—28.5
15/8F·2.88
SP
22
Love Rome
J: Jason Hart · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1
2yo · C · b
3
—28.0
3/1·4.00
SP
33
Mr Minz
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 4
2yo · C · b
3
—30.5
14/1·15.00
SP
44
Vega King
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5
2yo · C · b
——22.0
5/2·3.50
SP
51
Astral Crown
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 3
2yo · C · ch
——21.0
11/2·6.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Ayr on 13 July 2026?

Weleyff (IRE) won the 14:00 Ayr at SP 2.88. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Edward Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Mr Minz) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:00 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Weleyff (IRE) (2.88), 2. Love Rome (IRE) (4.00), 3. Mr Minz (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 28.68s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org