Who won the 15:00 Ayr on 13 July 2026?
Azuinthejungle (GB) won the 15:00 Ayr at SP 4.50. Ridden by Alex Jary. Trained by Nigel Tinkler.
15:00 Ayr
Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 13 July 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stAzuinthejungle (GB)Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndTaygar (IRE)Sean Kirrane·Michael Dods·beaten .75 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdWhiskey Kisses (IRE)David Allan·R Mike Smith·beaten .75 lengths50/1·51.00SP
Race time
1m 8.50s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Azuinthejungle (GB))
“up in second early - narrowing the gap on the pace 2f out - hit the front 1f out and ran on strongly - had matters in hand to the finish”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way48.8/100 rating
Taygar
5.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Azuinthejungle
Azuinthejungle heads our figures in a wide-open 6f contest, with a third last time out the best of a modest recent sequence, and returns here already proven over today's distance and going just 17 days on. The formline is thin and the yard is out of form currently, so this comes with a low degree of confidence. White Ladder looks the biggest threat, a winner last time out, while Taygar has been frequently placed without adding to her tally and Water Of Leith, a winner six starts back, is fresh from a run just eight days ago. Our selection is Azuinthejungle, taken on figures in a competitive-looking race.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Thunderstorm Katie
Lauren Young(5) · Jim Goldie · 5yo
Top-rated of 8
score 53.6 · +4.8 clear of next best (48.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong39d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight65averageLast 6: 9-7-2-2-2
- Trainer20% weight58averageJim Goldie: 7/30 winners last 14d (23%)
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 6f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 0.75
Today: Water Of Leith (draw 3) and Whiskey Kisses (draw 2) get the bias; Thunderstorm Katie (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7 4yo · G · ch | 70473 | 64 | 39.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 4 5yo · M · b | 82224 | 64 | 48.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: David Allan · T: R Mike Smith · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 34609 | 65 | 35.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: John Ryan · draw 5 3yo · G · gr | 72331 | 60 | 41.5 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 1 5yo · G · b | 76377 | 50 | 32.6 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 8yo · G · b | 146553 | 64 | 42.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 6yo · G · bv | 256183 | 49 | 40.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 78367 | 53 | 32.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 5yo · M · b | 97222 | 62 | 53.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Thunderstorm Katie) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 15:00 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Azuinthejungle (GB) (4.50), 2. Taygar (IRE) (5.00), 3. Whiskey Kisses (IRE) (51.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:00 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 8.50s.
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