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RacingAlpha

20:00 Ballinrobe

Ireland

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

1m5f · Flat · Yielding · 11 runners · €8,835 · Monday, 22 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Daboya (IRE)
    Sam Coen·R Donohoe
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lagoon Nebula (GB)
    Luke McAteer·A Kinirons·beaten 3 lengths
    5/1F·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Guy's Girl (IRE)
    Billy Lee·W McCreery·beaten 1 length
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
2m 59.54s+6.54s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Daboya (IRE))

Raced near the front - asserted over 2f out - kicked clear under pressure over a furlong out - won with something to spare

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Bruant

Bruant has slipped to a tempting mark on the flat after landing a recent hurdles prize, is fitted with a hood for the first time, and is effective at 10–13f — conditions here look right for him to rediscover some earlier flat ability. Lagoon Nebula ran a solid fourth at Listowel last time and is a genuine danger at up to 2m, while Sonic Invader has been placed in back-to-back outings and also holds strong claims. Miss Crinshawn, narrowly beaten at Cork, completes the shortlist. Bruant is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Covert Legend

Reserve 3 · Maurice Ahern · 6yo

Top-rated of 11
score 52.2 · +0.9 clear of next best (51.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Maurice Ahern: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 4-6-4-4-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    235d since last run (long absence)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 62
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Sam Coen · T: R Donohoe · draw 3
5yo · M · grb
65055
6737.0
6/1·7.00
SP
27
J: Luke McAteer · T: A Kinirons · draw 9
5yo · M · b
35054
6544.9
5/1F·6.00
SP
35
J: Billy Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 13
4yo · F · b
60556
6636.4
14/1·15.00
SP
415
J: Reserve 1 · T: Peter Fahey · draw 14
4yo · F · b
70342
6239.4
9/1·10.00
SP
59
J: Nicola Burns · T: Aidan Melia · draw 10
10yo · G · b
340
6451.3
8/1·9.00
SP
610
J: Robbie Colgan · T: A J Martin · draw 1
5yo · G · bhFT H
00090
6329.8
14/1·15.00
SP
74
J: Nathan Crosse · T: J P Fahey · draw 2
6yo · M · b
42690
6640.3
11/1·12.00
SP
814
J: Paddy Harnett · T: A McGuinness · draw 11
5yo · M · b
00610
6236.8
8/1·9.00
SP
93
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs J Harrington · draw 5
4yo · F · bt
67359
6740.4
14/1·15.00
SP
101
J: Adam Caffrey · T: N Meade · draw 4
6yo · G · bbFT B
00009
6940.9
11/1·12.00
SP
1116
J: Reserve 2 · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 6
5yo · M · b
66402
6237.0
10/1·11.00
SP
1211
5yo · G · b
390U
6340.9
18/1·19.00
SP
1312
5yo · M · bt
16098
6333.9
13/2·7.50
SP
J: Jack Kearney · T: Patrick Magee · draw 12
4yo · F · b
25280
6534.2
J: Robert Whearty · T: P W Flynn · draw 17
5yo · M · b
04060
6532.4
J: Reserve 3 · T: Maurice Ahern · draw 15
6yo · G · btp
46442
6252.2
J: Colin Keane · T: N Meade · draw 7
4yo · G · b
76033
6349.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:00 Ballinrobe on 22 June 2026?

Daboya (IRE) won the 20:00 Ballinrobe at SP 7.00. Ridden by Sam Coen. Trained by R Donohoe.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Ballinrobe?

No — the AI top pick (Covert Legend) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 20:00 Ballinrobe?

Top finishers: 1. Daboya (IRE) (7.00), 2. Lagoon Nebula (GB) (6.00), 3. Guy's Girl (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:00 Ballinrobe?

The winning time was 2m 59.54s, 6.54s slower than standard.

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