Who won the 14:15 Curragh on 27 June 2026?
Ballinea Star (IRE) won the 14:15 Curragh at SP 17.00. Ridden by Donagh O'Connor. Trained by Robson De Aguiar.
14:15 Curragh
IrelandJebel Ali Racecourse And Stables Anglesey Stakes (Group 3)
6½f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · €41,230 · Saturday, 27 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stBallinea Star (IRE)Donagh O'Connor·Robson De Aguiar16/1·17.00SP
- 2ndImmortal Guard (IRE)W J Lee·Robson De Aguiar·beaten .5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdConfucius (IRE)AI top pick · 62.3Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten 0.2 lengths1/3F·1.33SP
Race time
1m 17.36s+3.66s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Ballinea Star (IRE))
“Contested the lead from the off - close in behind after 2f - asked to close from 2f out - under pressure 1½f out - joined the leader 1f out - edged ahead close home - won gamely”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Confucius
Confucius was beaten less than two lengths in a Group 2 at Ascot by a stablemate — a performance that sets the form standard — and handles both soft and fast ground at 5-6f with the leading combination behind him. Immortal Guard made up ground purposefully to be third in a Group 3 here last time and is the main danger, with Ballinea Star also holding a chance after her willing recent success at Cork. Confucius is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Confucius
Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 2yo
Top-rated of 5
score 62.3 · +11.8 clear of next best (50.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight68strongOR 102 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 2-1-6
- Trainer20% weight50averageA P O'Brien: 9/44 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 6½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.96
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.99
High (5–6)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 541 | — | 25.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: W J Lee · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 3 2yo · C · b | 13 | — | 27.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 2yo · C · br | 216 | 102 | 62.3 | 1/3F·1.33 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: J F Egan · T: David Evans · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 159 | 84 | 50.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 10 | — | 13.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 2yo · C · b | — | — | 24.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Confucius) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 14:15 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Ballinea Star (IRE) (17.00), 2. Immortal Guard (IRE) (5.00), 3. Confucius (IRE) (1.33).
What was the winning time for the 14:15 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 17.36s, 3.66s slower than standard.
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