Who won the 18:30 Roscommon on 30 June 2026?
La La Lucrative (IRE) won the 18:30 Roscommon at SP 6.00. Ridden by Robbie Colgan. Trained by Matthew J Smith.
18:30 Roscommon
IrelandJimmy Murray Agri Services Handicap (0-60)
7½f · Flat · Good · 15 runners · €5,900 · Tuesday, 30 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stLa La Lucrative (IRE)Robbie Colgan·Matthew J Smith5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndToy Soldier (IRE)Dylan Browne McMonagle·Maurice Andrew Ahern·beaten .75 lengths3/1F·4.00SP
- 3rdGivehertilxmas (IRE)Jack Kearney·Gerard Keane·beaten 0.1 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 33.48s+2.58s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (La La Lucrative (IRE))
“Tracked the leaders in 3rd - challenged 2f out with limited room - led under a drive 1 1/2f out - briefly shifted right but held a slim edge 1f out - ran on well”
AI top-rated Brains (score 55.9) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Methgal
Methgal went close at Limerick last time off this precise mark, and first-time tongue-tie and blinkers add an intriguing element; he tops our ratings and makes the strongest case in a wide-open field. La La Lucrative, a winner two starts back, needs to bounce back from a poor last outing; Toy Soldier, fitted with a first-time visor after a recent close second, and He's Holding Court, who showed real credit over course and distance last time, are the main dangers. Methgal is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Brains
Seamie Heffernan · R Donohoe · 10yo
Top-rated of 15
score 55.9 · +10.7 clear of next best (45.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)R Donohoe: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 59
- Form20% weight38below averageLast 6: 5-0-4-2-6
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).
Low (1–6)
IV 1.26
Mid (7–12)
IV 1.09
High (13–18)
IV 0.64
Today: Brains (draw 3) and Medieval Night (draw 5) get the bias; Selective Power (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 89718 | 57 | 35.9 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Maurice Andrew Ahern · draw 8 4yo · G · bvFT V | 00042 | 54 | 38.1 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 9 4yo · F · b | 26060 | 57 | 28.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: R P Burns · draw 7 8yo · G · bp | 14500 | 55 | 40.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: R Donohoe · draw 3 10yo · G · btb | 50426 | 59 | 55.9 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Darragh O'Sullivan(7) · T: Donncha Duggan · draw 18 4yo · G · b | 0088 | 48 | 33.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: P J F Murphy · draw 1 4yo · G · btb | 122904 | 59 | 37.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Shane Foley · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 10 4yo · G · bt | 95008 | 60 | 30.1 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 4 3yo · F · chbFT B | 98909 | 56 | 28.1 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 5 4yo · G · btp | 08083 | 56 | 39.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Feenagh Moran(10) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 15 4yo · F · ch | 18699 | 54 | 35.1 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 12 | 13 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: Tracey Collins · draw 2 4yo · F · bhFT H | 800 | 45 | 19.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 13 | 15 | J: Jamie Powell · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 16 3yo · F · b | 080764 | 46 | 33.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 14 | 14 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 13 3yo · F · b | 70030 | 53 | 29.6 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 15 | 12 | J: Luke McAteer · T: P F O'Donnell · draw 12 3yo · G · btFT T | 08000 | 55 | 38.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: James Ryan · T: Thomas Coyle · draw 14 7yo · G · chp | 00494 | 60 | 45.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 17 4yo · G · chbFT B | 040850 | 60 | 29.7 | — |
| — | — | J: · T: Brendan W Duke · draw 11 3yo · F · ch | 0083P | 60 | 33.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Roscommon?
No — the AI top pick (Brains) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 18:30 Roscommon?
Top finishers: 1. La La Lucrative (IRE) (6.00), 2. Toy Soldier (IRE) (4.00), 3. Givehertilxmas (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:30 Roscommon?
The winning time was 1m 33.48s, 2.58s slower than standard.
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