Who won the 20:30 Fairyhouse on 1 July 2026?
Vanir (IRE) won the 20:30 Fairyhouse at SP 2.10. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by J P Murtagh.
20:30 Fairyhouse
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden
1m4f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €8,835 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stVanir (IRE)Ben Coen·J P Murtagh11/10F·2.10SP
- 2ndCosmetic (IRE)AI top pick · 48.8Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten 1 length4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdAltura (GB)Shane Foley·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 0.2 lengths18/1·19.00SP
Race time
2m 38.13s+5.53s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Vanir (IRE))
“Led early, headed after 1f - dropped to 3rd by halfway - pressed from 2f out - took up the running over 100 yards out - stayed on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Vanir
Vanir took a clear step forward when a narrow runner-up last time, and the strength of that late effort suggests the step up in distance is exactly what she needs. Pleased is the obvious challenger on ratings, with her stamina for the distance not in doubt, while Cosmetic shapes as a thorough stayer for a powerful yard. Vanir is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Cosmetic
Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien · 3yo
Top-rated of 12
score 48.8 · +16.9 clear of next best (31.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong43d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight50averageA P O'Brien: 10/49 winners last 14d (20%)
- Form20% weight25weakLast 6: 9-7-5-5
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Fairyhouse 1m4f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.30
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.75
High (10–13)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 34 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 82 | — | 31.6 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 10 3yo · F · bp | 9755 | 76 | 48.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 7 | — | 16.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 12 3yo · F · b | 32 | — | 31.9 | 13/8·2.62 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Colin Keane · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 6 | — | 11.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 11 3yo · F · btv | 90 | — | 10.4 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Thomas Mullins · draw 9 6yo · M · b | 0 | — | 7.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 13 | J: Scott McCullagh · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8 3yo · F · bp | 7 | — | 18.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 9 | — | 9.7 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 10 | 7 | J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 0 | — | 15.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 11 | 11 | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John C McConnell · draw 3 3yo · F · btFT T | — | — | 26.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 12 | 1 | J: Rory Cleary · T: D Buckley · draw 13 8yo · M · b | 0 | — | 14.5 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 8 | — | 10.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Fairyhouse?
No — the AI top pick (Cosmetic) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 20:30 Fairyhouse?
Top finishers: 1. Vanir (IRE) (2.10), 2. Cosmetic (IRE) (5.00), 3. Altura (GB) (19.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:30 Fairyhouse?
The winning time was 2m 38.13s, 5.53s slower than standard.
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