Who won the 16:18 Naas on 4 July 2026?
Mai Dahlia (IRE) won the 16:18 Naas at SP 1.80. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.
16:18 Naas
IrelandNaas Racecourse Fillies Maiden
1m · Flat · Good · 8 runners · €7,068 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 4/5F·1.80Race report
- 1stMai Dahlia (IRE)AI top pick · 57.7Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien4/5F·1.80SP
- 2ndDonna Time (IRE)Rory Cleary·C W J Farrell·beaten 5 lengths28/1·29.00SP
- 3rdBofa Beach (GB)Shane Foley·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 2.25 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
1m 41.51s+4.21s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.80 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way23.5/100 rating
Sibaza
7.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Sibaza
SIBAZA is fancied to defy her lack of experience on debut. A daughter of Night Of Thunder and half-sister to the useful Simiyna, she is a well-bred sort from a yard capable of landing this sort of race with a newcomer. Mai Dahlia, twice placed already and clearly progressing having franked her course-and-distance debut form with a place last time, looks the obvious danger, while Bofa Beach may need conditions to be kinder than last time out if she is to figure. SIBAZA is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Mai Dahlia
Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 57.7 · +11.6 clear of next best (46.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong37d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 3-2
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight38below averageJoseph Patrick O'Brien: 8/52 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 1.94 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Naas 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.03
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.14
High (7–8)
IV 0.84
Today: Bofa Beach (draw 6) and Xirivella (draw 5) get the bias; Sibaza (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · F · bt | 32 | 82 | 57.7 | 4/5F·1.80 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Rory Cleary · T: C W J Farrell · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 76 | — | 12.2 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 6 3yo · F · gr | 4039 | 77 | 46.1 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 2 3yo · F · btFT T | 68 | — | 13.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 8 3yo · F · b | — | — | 23.5 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | — | — | 18.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Robert Whearty · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 4 4yo · F · b | 0000 | — | 11.0 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Leigh Roche · T: Gerard Kyne · draw 7 4yo · F · b | 0 | — | 7.0 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:18 Naas?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Mai Dahlia, won the race (AI score 57.7).
What were the placings in the 16:18 Naas?
Top finishers: 1. Mai Dahlia (IRE) (1.80), 2. Donna Time (IRE) (29.00), 3. Bofa Beach (GB) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:18 Naas?
The winning time was 1m 41.51s, 4.21s slower than standard.
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