Who won the 17:30 Naas on 4 July 2026?
L L Koulsty (IRE) won the 17:30 Naas at SP 5.00. Ridden by Rory Mulligan. Trained by John S O'Donoghue.
17:30 Naas
IrelandTRM Stay Cool Stay Sound Rated Race
7f · Flat · Good · 6 runners · €14,725 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stL L Koulsty (IRE)Rory Mulligan·John S O'Donoghue4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndYaupon De Replay (USA)Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 0.1 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdOcean's Breath (IRE)AI top pick · 57.4Gary Carroll·G M Lyons·beaten .75 lengths8/13F·1.62SP
Race time
1m 28.41s+5.41s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Ocean's Breath
OCEAN'S BREATH is the pick in a tight renewal, having landed two of his last three starts, including at today's trip last time, and there remains more to come for a yard in good order. Given a clear lead in the pace, he could prove difficult to peg back. Suzie Songs, who landed a Group 3 contest as a two-year-old, cannot be ruled out despite a below-par reappearance, while L L Koulsty, successful in a handicap last time in form that has since worked out well, and Frescobaldi also feature among the dangers. Confidence is low in a competitive field, but OCEAN'S BREATH is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ocean's Breath
Gary Carroll · G M Lyons · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 57.4 · +4.1 clear of next best (53.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight66strongLast 6: 2-4-1-9-1
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 92
- Trainer20% weight25weakG M Lyons: 2/20 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 2.50 (Virgin Bet) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Naas 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.03
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.14
High (5–6)
IV 0.84
Today: Ocean's Breath (draw 4) and Frescobaldi (draw 3) get the bias; Sir Benji (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 13641 | 86 | 50.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 140 | 96 | 52.3 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 4 3yo · C · brt | 24191 | 92 | 57.4 | 8/13F·1.62 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: James Ryan · T: G M Lyons · draw 6 3yo · F · chtFT T | 11270 | 98 | 52.1 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 13 | 86 | 53.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Shane Foley · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 15350 | 94 | 46.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Naas?
No — the AI top pick (Ocean's Breath) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:30 Naas?
Top finishers: 1. L L Koulsty (IRE) (5.00), 2. Yaupon De Replay (USA) (13.00), 3. Ocean's Breath (IRE) (1.62).
What was the winning time for the 17:30 Naas?
The winning time was 1m 28.41s, 5.41s slower than standard.
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