16:50 Leopardstown

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

7f · Flat · Good · 13 runners · €12,958 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Maire Rua (GB)
Colin Keane·G M Lyons
13/8F·2.62
SP
2nd
Bellesque (IRE)
Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 2.5 lengths
7/2·4.50
SP
3rd
Nevermindtherain (IRE)
Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten .5 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP

Race time

1m 30.13s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Maire Rua (GB))

“Soon sat close up behind the pace-setters out wide - shaken up and made rapid progress into 2nd 1 1/2f out - driven to hit the front 1f out - battled on strongly to win with plenty in hand”

AI top-rated Shenata (score 29.0) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way25.5/100 rating

Bellesque

6.50Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Shenata

Ben Coen · J P Murtagh · 2yo

Top-rated of 13

score 29.0 · +3.5 clear of next best (25.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
70strong
J P Murtagh: 10/36 winners last 14d (28%)
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: first run
Freshness10% weight
50average
no recent-run data
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 26.00 (Bet365) · 8th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.16

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.88

High (11–14)

IV 0.94

Today: Margot Mae (draw 5) and Honey Deuce (draw 4) get the bias; Shenata (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	9	Maire Rua J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 14 2yo · F · gr	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	13/8F·2.62 SP
2	3	Bellesque J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	25.5	7/2·4.50 SP
3	11	Nevermindtherain J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3 2yo · F · b	55	9-02	—	—	—	24.0	13/2·7.50 SP
4	4	Carafinn J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 2 2yo · F · b	4	9-02	—	—	—	24.5	15/2·8.50 SP
5	14	Voice Of You J: Gary Carroll · T: M C Hickey · draw 13 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	25.0	80/1·81.00 SP
6	12	Shenata J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 8 2yo · F · br	—	9-02	—	—	—	29.0	12/1·13.00 SP
7	10	Margot Mae J: Scott McCullagh · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 5 2yo · F · ch	63	9-02	—	—	—	25.3	4/1·5.00 SP
8	8	Katiraya J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 9 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	22.0	33/1·34.00 SP
9	7	Honey Deuce J: Andrew Slattery · T: J A Stack · draw 4 2yo · F · gr	6	9-02	—	—	—	25.0	25/1·26.00 SP
10	6	Fine Line J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 1 2yo · F · ch	0	9-02	—	—	—	14.5	200/1·201.00 SP
11	1	A Girl Named Sioux J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 11 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	19.0	50/1·51.00 SP
12	13	Stormy Dawn J: Luke McAteer · T: P A Fahy · draw 10 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	200/1·201.00 SP
13	2	Arizonaneargalway J: Alan Casey(7) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 12 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	21.5	200/1·201.00 SP
—	—	Churchill Bond J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 6 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	20.5	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:50 Leopardstown on 9 July 2026?

Maire Rua (GB) won the 16:50 Leopardstown at SP 2.62. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by G M Lyons.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:50 Leopardstown?

No — the AI top pick (Shenata) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:50 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Maire Rua (GB) (2.62), 2. Bellesque (IRE) (4.50), 3. Nevermindtherain (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:50 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 30.13s.

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