18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

Download The Raceday Ready App Classified Stakes

1m½f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runners · £4,711 · Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Nutcracker (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Tony Carroll
    13/8·2.62
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Knightmare (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·David Evans·beaten .75 lengths
    EvensF·2.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Churchill's Spirit (IRE)
    Charles Bishop·Tom Clover·beaten 5.5 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
Race time
1m 50.38s+4.08s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Nutcracker (GB))

Bumped at the start - settled in the pack - pushed along and improved into contention 2f out - nosed in front entering the final furlong and asserted to prevail at the line

AI top-rated King's Courtier (score 44.3) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 18.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

King's Courtier

Dylan Hogan · Julia & Shelley Birkett · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 44.3 · +0.7 clear of next best (43.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Julia & Shelley Birkett: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 50 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    13weak
    Last 6: 0-0-4-7-0
MarketBest price 26.00 (William Hill) · 7th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.12
High (7–9)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 3
4yo · G · gr/ro
977332
5043.5
13/8·2.62
SP
23
J: Billy Loughnane · T: David Evans · draw 2
4yo · G · bb
432522
4936.5
EvensF·2.00
SP
37
J: Charles Bishop · T: Tom Clover · draw 4
3yo · F · bbFT B
9964
4537.7
25/1·26.00
SP
49
3yo · G · bh
03770
5028.2
15/2·8.50
SP
56
3yo · F · b
09997
4225.7
50/1·51.00
SP
65
J: Luke Morris · T: Michael Keady · draw 9
4yo · F · btbFT TB
464095
4428.8
40/1·41.00
SP
78
3yo · G · b
00470
5044.3
18/1·19.00
SP
J: Myla Coppins(7) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8
7yo · M · b
176990
4532.3
J: Connor Planas · T: Phil McEntee · draw 5
6yo · G · b
54686
4937.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:10 Wolverhampton (AW) on 7 July 2026?

Nutcracker (GB) won the 19:10 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 2.62. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Tony Carroll.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:10 Wolverhampton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (King's Courtier) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 19:10 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Nutcracker (GB) (2.62), 2. Knightmare (IRE) (2.00), 3. Churchill's Spirit (IRE) (26.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:10 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 50.38s, 4.08s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org