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RacingAlpha

14:57 Navan

Ireland

Newgrange Hotel Handicap

6f · Flat · Good · 15 runners · €7,068 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Gotta Catch'em All (IRE)
    Siobhan Rutledge·H Rogers
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Coincidental Glory (IRE)
    Declan McDonogh·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 1.25 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Poweracclaim (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten 1.25 lengths
    4/1F·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 10.47s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Gotta Catch'em All (IRE))

Sat in behind the pacesetter and up to 2nd by halfway - went to the front beyond 2f out - soon asked for effort - ran on strongly in the final furlong to win

AI top-rated Are You In Or Out (score 49.5) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way43.8/100 rating
Coincidental Glory
8.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.50 · 1/5 odds · 5 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Thurso

Thurso is our selection in this red-hot 16-runner sprint, preferred over the joint-top-rated Poweracclaim on a progressive profile and a clear fitness edge. Both sit on 77 on our figures, but Thurso looks the sharper of the pair right now. Poweracclaim, Coincidental Glory and Elly Bay are the chief dangers, with confidence in Thurso's claims running high.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Are You In Or Out

Nicola Burns(5) · Conor David Maxwell · 5yo

Top-rated of 16
score 49.5 · +2.7 clear of next best (46.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Conor David Maxwell: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    10d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63
  • Form20% weight
    25weak
    Last 6: 7-0-1-7-0
MarketBest price 15.00 (Bet365) · 8th in the market of 16.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.11
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.77
High (12–16)
IV 1.10

Today: Reinforce (draw 5) and Irish Rumour (draw 4) get the bias; Aurora Nova (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 101 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: H Rogers · draw 6
6yo · G · bbFT B
47696
6231.1
9/1·10.00
SP
29
3yo · G · ch
050463
6543.8
13/2·7.50
SP
33
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 15
4yo · G · b
35404
6842.1
4/1F·5.00
SP
415
3yo · G · b
8900
5025.6
40/1·41.00
SP
58
6yo · M · bt
25020
6236.7
9/2·5.50
SP
64
J: Gary Carroll · T: A Oliver · draw 14
3yo · G · btFT T
055
7242.5
16/1·17.00
SP
72
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 12
4yo · F · grt
31900
6839.4
17/2·9.50
SP
86
5yo · M · b
70170
6349.5
11/1·12.00
SP
913
J: Robert Whearty · T: A Oliver · draw 7
5yo · M · b/br
60500
5528.3
16/1·17.00
SP
1014
J: Chris Hayes · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 1
2yo · F · ch
009
5328.8
33/1·34.00
SP
1111
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 3
3yo · F · b
96529
6334.4
10/1·11.00
SP
1210
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Miss Katy Brown · draw 5
6yo · G · ch
69080
5840.3
40/1·41.00
SP
135
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Andrew McNamara · draw 8
7yo · M · b
90359
6446.8
20/1·21.00
SP
1412
J: Leigh Roche · T: Gerard Keane · draw 2
5yo · G · b
90002
5634.0
12/1·13.00
SP
151
4yo · G · b
558814
7241.4
15/2·8.50
SP
J: Rory Cleary · T: Chris Timmons · draw 9
8yo · M · chp
70090
4432.2

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:57 Navan on 11 July 2026?

Gotta Catch'em All (IRE) won the 14:57 Navan at SP 10.00. Ridden by Siobhan Rutledge. Trained by H Rogers.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:57 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Are You In Or Out) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 14:57 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Gotta Catch'em All (IRE) (10.00), 2. Coincidental Glory (IRE) (7.50), 3. Poweracclaim (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:57 Navan?

The winning time was 1m 10.47s.

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