18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

15:30 Navan

Ireland

Navan Adventure Centre Handicap

5f · Flat · Good · 10 runners · €7,068 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Another Nice'day (IRE)
    Orla Tynan·Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Amerilis (GB)
    Donagh O'Connor·Gillian Scott·beaten .5 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cashel Blue (IRE)
    W J Lee·K J Condon·beaten 0.2 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
58.58s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Another Nice'day (IRE))

Sat in behind the pacesetter and up with the pace by halfway - asked for effort 2f out - off the bridle in 3rd with a furlong and a half left - went to the front inside the final 150 yards - ran on strongly to win

AI top-rated Boston Max (score 55.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way44.4/100 rating
All Hail
6.50BetWright
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Amerilis

Amerilis is the pick in this red-hot 5f contest, clear on our figures with a rating of 83 that no rival gets near. White Smoke and The Right One, both on 76, head the chasing pack, with All Hail's 74 also placing him among the leading dangers. Confidence in Amerilis is high.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Boston Max

Chris Hayes · Gordon Elliott · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 55.4 · +6.7 clear of next best (48.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 0-0-1-1-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Gordon Elliott: 9/43 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 61
MarketBest price 3.50 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.11
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.77
High (8–10)
IV 1.10

Today: Boston Max (draw 3) and All Hail (draw 1) get the bias; The Right One (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 101 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
110
3yo · G · bp
50006
4225.7
17/2·9.50
SP
24
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Gillian Scott · draw 2
3yo · F · btpFT TP
64926
6639.2
6/1·7.00
SP
36
J: W J Lee · T: K J Condon · draw 9
3yo · F · b
7051
6439.9
6/1·7.00
SP
41
J: Ben Coen · T: A Oliver · draw 1
3yo · G · b
0828
6944.4
10/1·11.00
SP
57
J: Chris Hayes · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 3
3yo · G · bt
00112
6155.4
2/1F·3.00
SP
65
3yo · F · chh
60450
6648.7
40/1·41.00
SP
73
J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: M C Grassick · draw 4
3yo · F · b
54904
6734.2
14/1·15.00
SP
88
J: Leigh Roche · T: W McCreery · draw 10
3yo · F · bv
047080
5426.8
11/1·12.00
SP
99
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 6
3yo · F · bht
765290
4833.1
11/1·12.00
SP
102
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 5
3yo · F · bp
32401
6743.7
13/2·7.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Navan on 11 July 2026?

Another Nice'day (IRE) won the 15:30 Navan at SP 9.50. Ridden by Orla Tynan. Trained by Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Boston Max) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:30 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Another Nice'day (IRE) (9.50), 2. Amerilis (GB) (7.00), 3. Cashel Blue (IRE) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Navan?

The winning time was 58.58s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org