18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

16:40 Navan

Ireland

Navan Handicap

1m2f · Flat · Good · 11 runners · €8,835 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Admiral Will Brown (GB)
    Wesley Joyce·Daniel McLoughlin
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Letiza (IRE)
    Andrew Slattery·Adrian Nicholls·beaten .75 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Felix Somary (IRE)
    Sadhbh Tormey·John S O'Donoghue·beaten 2.25 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
Race time
2m 7.06s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Admiral Will Brown (GB))

Racing in the pack - made headway 3f out - asked for effort to dispute matters approaching the final two and a half furlongs - soon in front - went clear beyond the furlong marker and ran on strongly to win

AI top-rated Daonethatgotaway (score 51.8) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way51.8/100 rating
Daonethatgotaway
11.00William Hill
Place portion settles at 3.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Genoah

Genoah is the pick at Navan, clear at the head of this field of eleven on our figures with a rating of 93 over today's ten furlongs on good to firm ground. Sonoran (88) and Beauparc (85) look the most direct dangers on figures, with Lady Chartwell (81) also capable of running into the frame. It's a medium-confidence vote, with a reasonable cushion over the rest of this bigger field.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Daonethatgotaway

Joseph Harnett(7) · Mark Fahey · 6yo

Top-rated of 11
score 51.8 · +1.8 clear of next best (50.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    99d since last run (rusty)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 3-2-1-4-2-0
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Trainer20% weight
    50small sample (n=5)
    Mark Fahey: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 11.00 (William Hill) · 6th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.03
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.05
High (9–11)
IV 0.92

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
111
3yo · G · b
8777
6432.7
10/1·11.00
SP
28
J: Andrew Slattery · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 10
5yo · M · b
81860
6941.8
7/1·8.00
SP
310
3yo · G · bp
40990
7242.2
20/1·21.00
SP
43
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: A Oliver · draw 6
4yo · G · bbFT B
925
8050.1
16/1·17.00
SP
54
J: Leigh Roche · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 1
5yo · G · btp
11902
7745.1
9/4F·3.25
SP
62
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 11
6yo · M · bt
134726
8145.8
6/1·7.00
SP
75
J: Joseph Harnett(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 8
6yo · G · chtp
321420
7551.8
25/1·26.00
SP
86
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 9
4yo · F · btbFT TB
21184
7147.4
7/1·8.00
SP
91
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 3
4yo · G · b/brt
30369
8241.5
11/2·6.50
SP
109
J: Chris Hayes · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 2
5yo · G · b
0600
6638.8
9/1·10.00
SP
117
J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: P Sweeney · draw 4
4yo · F · b
55000
6932.7
50/1·51.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:40 Navan on 11 July 2026?

Admiral Will Brown (GB) won the 16:40 Navan at SP 11.00. Ridden by Wesley Joyce. Trained by Daniel McLoughlin.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Daonethatgotaway) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 16:40 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Admiral Will Brown (GB) (11.00), 2. Letiza (IRE) (8.00), 3. Felix Somary (IRE) (21.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:40 Navan?

The winning time was 2m 7.06s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org