Who won the 14:00 Dundalk (AW) on 12 July 2026?
Kerdos (IRE) won the 14:00 Dundalk (AW) at SP 9.50. Ridden by Jack Kearney. Trained by Stephen Thorne.
14:00 Dundalk (AW)
IrelandLadies Day At Dundalk Handicap
5f · Flat · Standard · 9 runners · €14,725 · Sunday, 12 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stKerdos (IRE)Jack Kearney·Stephen Thorne17/2·9.50SP
- 2ndEclairage (IRE)James Ryan·Daniel James Murphy·beaten .5 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdCollective Power (IRE)Chris Hayes·Edward Lynam·beaten 0.2 lengths9/2J·5.50SP
Race time
58.97s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Kerdos (IRE))
“raced behind the front group - a modest 6th at halfway - made ground over a furlong out - up into second for the whip inside the final 100 yards - stayed on strongly to hit the front in the final strides”
AI top-rated Final Melody (score 64.4) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way55.6/100 rating
The Highway Rat
5.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Ipanema Queen
Ipanema Queen is our selection for this 5f contest at Dundalk (AW), preferred to the pack for her progressive profile even though she sits third on our figures behind joint-leaders Valiant Force and Howd'yadoit. Both those horses head the figures and stand as the biggest dangers, with Kerdos also right in the mix just below them. It's a tightly stacked ten-runner field and our confidence here is only medium, but Ipanema Queen's rounder profile gives her the nod over the top two.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Final Melody
Wayne Lordan · Miss Natalia Lupini · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 64.4 · +8.9 clear of next best (55.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight84very strongLast 6: 2-2-2-1-2
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=6)Miss Natalia Lupini: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80
- Freshness10% weight45below average212d since last run (long absence)
MarketBest price 14.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 8th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.02
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 217 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 9 6yo · G · bbFT B | 296860 | 89 | 54.9 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: James Ryan · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 1 4yo · F · b/brtpFT TP | 42070 | 89 | 43.1 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Edward Lynam · draw 8 8yo · G · ch | 563925 | 80 | 53.2 | 9/2J·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Patrick Magee · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 21801 | 93 | 48.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Andrew Slattery · T: David Marnane · draw 2 3yo · G · ch | 38029 | 80 | 47.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | 8yo · G · bb | 34662 | 99 | 55.6 | 9/2J·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 6 5yo · H · ro | 500990 | 104 | 49.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 84174 | 98 | 53.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 22212 | 80 | 64.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| — | — | J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 12746 | 93 | 52.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Dundalk (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Final Melody) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 14:00 Dundalk (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Kerdos (IRE) (9.50), 2. Eclairage (IRE) (8.00), 3. Collective Power (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:00 Dundalk (AW)?
The winning time was 58.97s.
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