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RacingAlpha

15:45 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

QuinnBet Handicap (0-60)

1m · Flat · Standard · 14 runners · €5,900 · Sunday, 12 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Movin And Groovin (IRE)
    Nathan Crosse·David Marnane
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Famous Enough (IRE)
    Luke McAteer·Patrick T Foley·beaten 0.2 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Bella Colombia (IRE)
    W J Lee·W McCreery·beaten .5 lengths
    7/2F·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 40.50s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Movin And Groovin (IRE))

up in second early - 3rd and pushed along with three furlongs left - put in a bid for it with the rider driving two furlongs out - shared the front with a furlong to run - stayed on strongly and edged in front 50 yards out - saw it out to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way41.6/100 rating
Akashaa
7.50Ladbrokes
Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Captain Ciano

Captain Ciano is our selection in this competitive 17-runner Dundalk heat, taken ahead of the pair who share top spot on our figures on the strength of a more progressive profile. Confidence is low given how tightly this race is packed, but he arrives fit and with solid claims. Bella Colombia and Navajo Point, level on our figures, look the biggest dangers, with Kitty Bear also going well and not far behind. It promises to be a close-run affair.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Roman Harry

Top-rated of 14
score 49.7 · +8.1 clear of next best (41.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    S M Duffy: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    10d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55
  • Form20% weight
    22weak
    Last 6: 4-4-7-3-0-9
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.04
Mid (7–12)
IV 1.11
High (13–17)
IV 0.86

Today: Angel Of Promise (draw 9) and Micasso (draw 12) get the bias; Akashaa (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 440 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
111
J: Nathan Crosse · T: David Marnane · draw 10
4yo · F · b
36375
4825.0
25/1·26.00
SP
28
J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 7
6yo · G · brtp
02005
5328.7
13/2·7.50
SP
31
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 15
5yo · M · b
671352
6038.5
7/2F·4.50
SP
47
J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: Martin Hassett · draw 1
4yo · G · b
0608
5730.6
22/1·23.00
SP
53
J: Ben Coen · T: Edward Lynam · draw 9
4yo · F · bvFT V
60900
5941.2
12/1·13.00
SP
610
J: Chris Hayes · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 13
4yo · F · b
85266
5041.6
4/1·5.00
SP
712
J: Robert Whearty · T: T G McCourt · draw 16
7yo · G · btp
086700
4824.3
12/1·13.00
SP
86
J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 17
4yo · F · b
617108
5839.7
8/1·9.00
SP
94
J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 8
7yo · G · grtp
300607
5928.9
11/2·6.50
SP
102
J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 3
4yo · G · br
500098
6028.1
16/1·17.00
SP
1113
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: M M Rice · draw 11
5yo · M · bht
76660
4624.4
16/1·17.00
SP
129
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 12
4yo · G · chtp
56201
5235.1
16/1·17.00
SP
1314
J: Rory Cleary · T: Keith Henry Clarke · draw 2
4yo · G · b
66357
4228.3
33/1·34.00
SP
145
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: R P Burns · draw 4
6yo · G · bt
29890
5831.3
33/1·34.00
SP
J: · T: T G McCourt · draw 6
5yo · G · bp
232770
4025.7
J: · T: S M Duffy · draw 5
6yo · G · bp
447309
5549.7
J: · T: A J Martin · draw 14
4yo · G · b
0000
4424.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:45 Dundalk (AW) on 12 July 2026?

Movin And Groovin (IRE) won the 15:45 Dundalk (AW) at SP 26.00. Ridden by Nathan Crosse. Trained by David Marnane.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Dundalk (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Roman Harry) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 15:45 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Movin And Groovin (IRE) (26.00), 2. Famous Enough (IRE) (7.50), 3. Bella Colombia (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:45 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 40.50s.

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