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RacingAlpha

16:55 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

Border Boutique Hire Maiden

1m2½f · Flat · Standard · 6 runners · €7,068 · Sunday, 12 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Police Gazette (USA)
    Gavin Ryan·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Reynir (IRE)AI top pick · 55.1
    Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten 3.75 lengths
    1/2F·1.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Let's Smash It (IRE)
    Donagh O'Connor·Robson De Aguiar·beaten 1.5 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
2m 15.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Police Gazette (USA))

sent straight to the front - three lengths to the good in the final furlong despite being niggled along - found more to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Reynir

Ben Coen · J P Murtagh · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 55.1 · +26.5 clear of next best (28.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    57d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 5-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    J P Murtagh: 4/36 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 1.64 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 1m2½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.89
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.09
High (5–6)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 270 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
3yo · C · btbFT TB
93
24.4
5/1·6.00
SP
25
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 3
3yo · C · bpFT P
532
8555.1
1/2F·1.50
SP
32
2yo · C · b
2
28.6
100/30·4.33
SP
43
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 4
3yo · G · ch
18.5
20/1·21.00
SP
56
J: Rory Cleary · T: Keith Henry Clarke · draw 5
3yo · F · b
0099
4224.8
150/1·151.00
SP
61
J: Conor Lamon(10) · T: Adrian Sexton · draw 2
5yo · G · bt
15.0
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:55 Dundalk (AW) on 12 July 2026?

Police Gazette (USA) won the 16:55 Dundalk (AW) at SP 6.00. Ridden by Gavin Ryan. Trained by Donnacha Aidan O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 Dundalk (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Reynir) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:55 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Police Gazette (USA) (6.00), 2. Reynir (IRE) (1.50), 3. Let's Smash It (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 16:55 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 15.68s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org