Who won the 17:20 Lingfield on 15 July 2026?
Probation (GB) won the 17:20 Lingfield at SP 2.25. Ridden by Alexandra Egan. Trained by Kevin Philippart De Foy.
17:20 Lingfield
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m3½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 3 runners · £5,234 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stProbation (GB)Alexandra Egan·Kevin Philippart De Foy5/4·2.25SP
- 2ndGolden Orbit (GB)AI top pick · 59.5Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett·beaten 12 lengths5/6F·1.83SP
- 3rdRajendra (GB)Saffie Osborne·David Simcock·beaten 5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
2m 25.05s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Probation (GB))
“Third early - up to second three furlongs out - hit the front just over a furlong out - driven away in the final furlong to score easily”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Golden Orbit
Golden Orbit is our selection in this three-runner race at Lingfield, holding a clear rating advantage over Probation and Rajendra despite an underwhelming, unplaced run last time out. She won three starts back and remains the one to beat on our figures, though that recent below-par effort keeps confidence low. Probation, third last time out having been fourth before that, is the more obvious danger, with Rajendra, without a win in four runs, harder to fancy over today's twelve furlongs.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Golden Orbit
Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett · 3yo
Top-rated of 3
score 59.5 · +5.2 clear of next best (54.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongRalph Beckett: 14/48 winners last 14d (29%)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 86 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight32weakLast 6: 1-4-0
MarketBest price 2.10 (William Hill) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Lingfield 1m3½f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–1)
IV 1.14
Mid (2–2)
IV 0.88
High (3–3)
IV 0.96
Today: Golden Orbit (draw 1) gets the bias; Probation (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Alexandra Egan(7) · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 343 | 70 | 54.3 | 5/4·2.25 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1 3yo · F · bpFT P | 140 | 86 | 59.5 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: David Simcock · draw 3 3yo · G · bh | 6467 | 64 | 38.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Lingfield?
No — the AI top pick (Golden Orbit) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 17:20 Lingfield?
Top finishers: 1. Probation (GB) (2.25), 2. Golden Orbit (GB) (1.83), 3. Rajendra (GB) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:20 Lingfield?
The winning time was 2m 25.05s.
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