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19:00 Killarney

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes (Listed)

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 10 runners · €30,000 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Meriden (GB)
    Chris Hayes·Denis Gerard Hogan
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Green Carrera (GB)AI top pick · 78.3
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 1.5 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sky Watch (IRE)
    Colin Keane·M D O'Callaghan·beaten 1.5 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
Race time
1m 42.71s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Meriden (GB))

“settled in the pack - 4th at halfway - made effortless ground with 3f to run - shaken up with 2f to run - driven into the front with 1f to run and ran on powerfully in the final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way64.7/100 rating
Quiet Mutiny
12.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Green Carrera

Green Carrera is our selection, preferred over the higher-rated Pivotal Attack on a progressive profile and a fitness edge in this red-hot Class 1 contest. Pivotal Attack, Sinmara and Drop Dead Gorgeous are the principal dangers on figures, with Pivotal Attack topping the whole field. Confidence in the selection is low given how tightly this 12-strong field is packed on figures, but Green Carrera's overall case edges it. Sky Watch is unrated and hard to assess alongside this group.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Green Carrera

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 78.3 · +11.4 clear of next best (66.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    90very strong
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 19/53 winners last 14d (36%)
  • Form20% weight
    88very strong
    Last 6: 1-4-2-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    65strong
    OR 98
MarketBest price 3.25 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Killarney 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.12
High (9–12)
IV 0.63

Today: Meriden (draw 4) and Drop Dead Gorgeous (draw 1) get the bias; Green Carrera (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 72 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Meriden
J: Chris Hayes · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 4
3yo · F · b
061111
9762.4
11/2·6.50
SP
24
Green Carrera
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 11
3yo · F · bt
14211
9878.3
2/1F·3.00
SP
39
Sky Watch
J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 8
3yo · F · bpFT P
63153
9658.5
16/1·17.00
SP
46
Pivotal Attack
J: Gary Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
16238
10050.7
7/2·4.50
SP
510
Spinning Around
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 9
3yo · F · bt
01418
8360.6
12/1·13.00
SP
68
Sinmara
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7
3yo · F · b
3147
9466.9
12/1·13.00
SP
712
Wild Bessie
J: Ben Coen · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 3
3yo · F · b
810
8849.8
33/1·34.00
SP
83
Drop Dead Gorgeous
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1
3yo · F · btpFT TP
1395
9755.0
17/2·9.50
SP
97
Quiet Mutiny
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 5
3yo · F · b
1240
9164.7
5/1·6.00
SP
102
Donna Time
J: Rory Cleary · T: C W J Farrell · draw 12
3yo · F · b
762
7441.3
300/1·301.00
SP
——
Cromac Quay
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 6
3yo · F · ch
321
9559.4—
——
White Sand Beach
J: Jack Cleary · T: A P O'Brien · draw 10
3yo · F · chb
308822
8250.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Killarney on 15 July 2026?

Meriden (GB) won the 19:00 Killarney at SP 6.50. Ridden by Chris Hayes. Trained by Denis Gerard Hogan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Killarney?

No — the AI top pick (Green Carrera) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Killarney?

Top finishers: 1. Meriden (GB) (6.50), 2. Green Carrera (GB) (3.00), 3. Sky Watch (IRE) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Killarney?

The winning time was 1m 42.71s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org