What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes (Listed)?
The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes (Listed) is off at 19:00 on 15 July 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).
← All racecards19:00
Killarney
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Cairn Rouge Stakes (Listed)
Wednesday, 15 July 2026
1m·Flat·Class 1·12 runners·€30,000
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.076.8/100 rating
Green Carrera
3.25Bet365· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way68.2/100 rating
Quiet Mutiny
12.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Green Carrera
Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo
76.8/100
+8.7 vs next best (68.2)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong26d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight88very strongLast 6: 1-4-2-1-1
- Trainer20% weight83very strongJoseph Patrick O'Brien: 17/51 winners last 14d (33%)
- Ratings50% weight65strongOR 98
MarketBest price 3.25 (Bet365) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(4)
- Mid-division(2)
- Hold-up / closers(2)
- Unknown(4)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 3yo · F · ch | 321 | 9-02 | 95 | — | — | 58.9 | 5/1·5.80 | 7/2·4.50Bet365 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 3yo · F · b | 762 | 9-02 | 74 | — | — | 41.3 | 150/1·135.35 | 100/1·101.00Bet365 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 3yo · F · btpFT TP | 1395 | 9-02 | 97 | — | — | 55.0 | 9/1·10.05 | 13/2·7.50Bet365 | ||
| 4 | 11 | 3yo · F · bt | 14211 | 9-02 | 98 | — | — | 76.8 | 10/3·4.36 | 9/4·3.25Bet365 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 3yo · F · b | 061111 | 9-02 | 97 | — | — | 62.4 | 11/2·6.70 | 9/2·5.50Bet365 | ||
| 6 | 2 | 3yo · F · ch | 16238 | 9-02 | 100 | — | — | 50.7 | 16/1·17.42 | 12/1·13.00Bet365 | ||
| 7 | 5 | 3yo · F · b | 1240 | 9-02 | 91 | — | — | 68.2 | 14/1·14.74 | 11/1·12.00Bet365 | ||
| 8 | 7 | 3yo · F · b | 3147 | 9-02 | 94 | — | — | 65.4 | 22/1·22.78 | 16/1·17.00Bet365 | ||
| 9 | 8 | 3yo · F · bpFT P | 63153 | 9-02 | 96 | — | — | 55.0 | 20/1·20.10 | 16/1·17.00Coral | ||
| 10 | 9 | 3yo · F · bt | 01418 | 9-02 | 83 | — | — | 60.6 | 11/1·12.06 | 8/1·9.00Bet365 | ||
| 11 | 10 | 3yo · F · chb | 308822 | 9-02 | 82 | — | — | 50.8 | 40/1·45.56 | 33/1·34.00Bet365 | ||
| 12 | 3 | 3yo · F · b | 810 | 9-02 | 88 | — | — | 50.3 | 50/1·54.94 | 40/1·41.00Bet365 |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 19:00 Killarney?
1m, Class 1, Flat, 12 runners declared.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:00 Killarney?
The AI top-rated runner is Green Carrera (score 76.8, best price 3.25). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 19:00 Killarney?
The market favourite is Green Carrera at a best price of 3.25.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyGreen Carrera is our selection, preferred over the higher-rated Pivotal Attack on a progressive profile and a fitness edge in this red-hot Class 1 contest. Pivotal Attack, Sinmara and Drop Dead Gorgeous are the principal dangers on figures, with Pivotal Attack topping the whole field. Confidence in the selection is low given how tightly this 12-strong field is packed on figures, but Green Carrera's overall case edges it. Sky Watch is unrated and hard to assess alongside this group.
Racing Post pick: Green Carrera
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org