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16:20 Leopardstown

Ireland

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

6½f · Flat · Good · 11 runners · €15,000 · Thursday, 16 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/3F·1.33
  1. 1st
    Star Of State (IRE)AI top pick · 40.1
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    1/3F·1.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Not You Too (IRE)
    Donagh O'Connor·M D O'Callaghan·beaten 9 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Someday Somewhere (IRE)
    W J Lee·Stephen Thorne·beaten 1.75 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 20.08s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Star Of State (IRE))

Sent to the front early - pulled away into the straight to lead by 6 lengths 1f out - stayed on strongly without being fully extended

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Star Of State

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 40.1 · +12.6 clear of next best (27.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    88very strong
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 18/52 winners last 14d (35%)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 6½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.16
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.88
High (9–12)
IV 0.94

Today: Star Of State (draw 4) and Dear Theodosia (draw 3) get the bias; Magma King (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
2yo · F · b
2
40.1
1/3F·1.33
SP
25
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 7
2yo · F · b
20.5
12/1·13.00
SP
36
J: W J Lee · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 1
2yo · F · b
25.0
9/1·10.00
SP
42
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 5
2yo · C · b
25.0
11/2·6.50
SP
58
J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 12
2yo · C · b
7
13.0
25/1·26.00
SP
63
J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 9
2yo · C · b
15.0
22/1·23.00
SP
71
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 8
2yo · C · b
25.0
25/1·26.00
SP
812
J: Rory Cleary · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 6
2yo · F · b
0
8.5
150/1·151.00
SP
910
J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 11
2yo · F · b
5
15.5
100/1·101.00
SP
104
2yo · C · b
15.0
50/1·51.00
SP
119
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 3
2yo · F · bhFT H
27.5
66/1·67.00
SP
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 10
2yo · F · b
73
25.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 Leopardstown on 16 July 2026?

Star Of State (IRE) won the 16:20 Leopardstown at SP 1.33. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Leopardstown?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Star Of State, won the race (AI score 40.1).

What were the placings in the 16:20 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Star Of State (IRE) (1.33), 2. Not You Too (IRE) (13.00), 3. Someday Somewhere (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 20.08s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org