Who won the 19:30 Epsom on 16 July 2026?
Damascus Steel (IRE) won the 19:30 Epsom at SP 4.50. Ridden by Miss Becky Smith. Trained by Gihan Arnolda.
19:30 Epsom
Betfred Ladies' Derby Handicap Stakes (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,960 · Thursday, 16 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 7/2·4.50Race report
- 1stDamascus Steel (IRE)AI top pick · 67.0Miss Becky Smith·Gihan Arnolda7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndEpictetus (IRE)Miss Megan Jordan·Jamie Osborne·beaten 0.3 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdI'd Go Maniac (FR)Miss Georgia King·Alan King·beaten 1.75 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
2m 41.98s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Damascus Steel (IRE))
“Going well in the pack - edged right but made good ground to hit the front entering the final furlong - came under pressure and was challenged for the advantage inside the final 110yds - held on gamely to the finish”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Damascus Steel I
Miss Becky Smith · Gihan Arnolda · 6yo
Top-rated of 7
score 67.0 · +10.5 clear of next best (56.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=4)Gihan Arnolda: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 1-2-3-5-6-1
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Epsom 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.87
High (7–8)
IV 1.14
Today: Damascus Steel I (draw 8) and Epictetus (draw 7) get the bias; Naval Command (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Miss Becky Smith · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 8 6yo · G · grp | 123561 | 75 | 67.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Miss Megan Jordan · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 223305 | 77 | 50.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Miss Georgia King(5) · T: Alan King · draw 6 7yo · G · bp | 48524 | 69 | 40.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Miss Amy Collier · T: Jim Boyle · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 62437 | 78 | 46.4 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Miss Georgie Benson(7) · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 4yo · G · bt | 42659 | 78 | 56.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Miss Brodie Hampson · T: Archie Watson · draw 1 6yo · G · bp | 90824 | 64 | 35.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Miss Sarah Bowen · T: Tony Carroll · draw 2 8yo · G · b | 671111 | 70 | 55.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: James Owen · draw 0 5yo · G · b | 144350 | 69 | 48.3 | — |
| — | — | J: · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 0 6yo · G · b | 00007 | 77 | 53.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Miss Amy Milburn(5) · T: Ian Williams · draw 3 5yo · G · bt | 232262 | 62 | 49.2 | — |
| — | — | J: · T: Nick Littmoden · draw 0 7yo · G · b | 462441 | 65 | 42.8 | — |
| — | — | J: · T: James Owen · draw 0 7yo · G · b | 78063 | 79 | 47.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Epsom?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Damascus Steel I, won the race (AI score 67.0).
What were the placings in the 19:30 Epsom?
Top finishers: 1. Damascus Steel (IRE) (4.50), 2. Epictetus (IRE) (6.50), 3. I'd Go Maniac (FR) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:30 Epsom?
The winning time was 2m 41.98s.
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