15:25 Hamilton

Wellman Cars Private Hire Almada Mile Handicap Stakes

1m½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £15,462 · Thursday, 16 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3/1·4.00

1st
I'll Be Back (IRE)AI top pick · 67.7
Sam James·K. R. Burke
3/1·4.00
SP
2nd
English Oak (GB)
Jack Nicholls·Hamad Al Jehani·beaten 1.75 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP
3rd
Monarch's Gold (GB)
David Egan·Kevin Philippart De Foy·beaten 0.05 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP

Race time

1m 44.62s

Race time recorded.

In-running (I'll Be Back (IRE))

“raced freely early - handy with the front-runner - travelling strongly and shared the front over 2f out - soon drifted a little right before being driven to sole command over 1f out - stayed on strongly”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: English Oak

English Oak is our selection at Hamilton, sharing the joint-highest figure in the race with Rhoscolyn, but with a stronger recent scoring sequence to back it up. Rhoscolyn, Monarch's Gold and Salam Dubawi head the dangers, with Rhoscolyn matching the selection on our figures despite a yard currently out of form. Monarch's Gold has been a model of consistency without adding the win his placed efforts deserve, while Salam Dubawi arrives in good order having been competitive in recent starts. With high confidence in the selection's superior recent form, English Oak gets the vote in this competitive six-runner heat.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

I'll Be Back

Sam James · K. R. Burke · 3yo

Top-rated of 5

score 67.7 · +5.1 clear of next best (62.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1-1
Freshness10% weight
65strong
94d since last run (rusty)
Ratings50% weight
61average
OR 92
Trainer20% weight
53average
K. R. Burke: 9/43 winners last 14d (21%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 0.95

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.02

High (5–6)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	4	I'll Be Back J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 3yo · C · b	11	9-00	92	—	—	67.7	3/1·4.00 SP
2	1	English Oak J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 2 6yo · G · b	01160	10-04	102	—	—	51.7	4/1·5.00 SP
3	5	Monarch's Gold J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 3 3yo · G · b	52029	9-00	92	—	—	59.7	4/1·5.00 SP
4	3	Salam Dubawi J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 4yo · G · b	0103	9-03	87	—	—	49.3	11/8F·2.38 SP
5	2	Rhoscolyn J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 8yo · G · bt	04500	9-08	92	—	—	43.6	22/1·23.00 SP
—	—	Noelan Star J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 6 3yo · G · ch	1130	8-12	90	—	—	62.6	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:25 Hamilton on 16 July 2026?

I'll Be Back (IRE) won the 15:25 Hamilton at SP 4.00. Ridden by Sam James. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:25 Hamilton?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, I'll Be Back, won the race (AI score 67.7).

What were the placings in the 15:25 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. I'll Be Back (IRE) (4.00), 2. English Oak (GB) (5.00), 3. Monarch's Gold (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:25 Hamilton?

The winning time was 1m 44.62s.

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