What time is the Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?
The Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 15:00 on 17 July 2026 at Newbury (Great Britain).
← All racecards15:00
Newbury
Great BritainIre-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Friday, 17 July 2026
7f·Flat·Class 3·14 runners·£8,100
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.050.4/100 rating
Cilician
5.30Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way50.4/100 rating
Cilician
5.30Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Cilician
Joe Leavy · Brian Meehan · 2yo
50.4/100
+19.4 vs next best (31.0)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight60averageOR 90 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight52averageLast 6: 2-0-2
- Trainer20% weight0weakBrian Meehan: 0/11 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 5.30 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.
- Front-runners(1)
- Prominent(1)
- Mid-division(2)
- Hold-up / closers(1)
- Unknown(10)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 2yo · G · b | 10 | 9-08 | — | — | — | 28.7 | 50/1·48.34 | 45·46.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 2 | 8 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 25.0 | 18/1·18.48 | 16·17.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2yo · C · b | 63 | 9-04 | — | — | — | 23.3 | 18/1·18.48 | 14/1·15.00Bet365 | ||
| 4 | 10 | 2yo · G · ch | 202 | 9-04 | 90 | — | — | 50.4 | 9/2·5.33 | 5.3·5.30Betfair Exchange | ||
| 5 | 6 | 2yo · G · b | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 19.5 | 100/1·95.25 | 80/1·81.00Midnite | ||
| 6 | 11 | 2yo · C · ch | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 31.0 | 15/8·2.84 | 2.5·2.50Betfair Exchange | ||
| 7 | 7 | 2yo · C · b | 5 | 9-04 | — | — | — | 18.0 | 16/1·17.06 | 14/1·15.00Bet365 | ||
| 8 | 3 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 25.5 | 33/1·32.70 | 28/1·29.00Midnite | ||
| 9 | 13 | 2yo · G · b | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 30.0 | 25/1·27.01 | 20/1·21.00Midnite | ||
| 10 | 15 | 2yo · C · ch | 64 | 9-04 | — | — | — | 27.3 | 16/1·17.06+11% vs mkt | 18·19.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 12 | 4 | 2yo · C · ch | 44 | 9-04 | — | — | — | 26.0 | 22/1·24.17 | 20/1·21.00BetWright | ||
| 13 | 14 | 2yo · G · b | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 22.0 | 100/1·95.25 | 80/1·81.00BetWright | ||
| 14 | 5 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 23.0 | 50/1·48.34 | 40/1·41.00BetWright | ||
| 15 | 1 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 24.0 | 14/1·15.64 | 11/1·12.00Bet365 | ||
| — | 9 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-04 | — | — | — | 21.5 | — | — |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30–31 bookmakers per horse with the 42% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 Newbury?
7f, Class 3, Flat, 14 runners declared.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 Newbury?
The AI top-rated runner is Cilician (score 50.4, best price 5.30). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 15:00 Newbury?
The market favourite is Force Of Light at a best price of 2.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Cilician.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org