Who won the 16:10 Newbury on 17 July 2026?
Arapaho Gold (IRE) won the 16:10 Newbury at SP 5.00. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Michael Dods.
16:10 Newbury
Apple Print & Creative Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race)
6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £28,355 · Friday, 17 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stArapaho Gold (IRE)Connor Beasley·Michael Dods4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndNabati (IRE)William Buick·Charlie Appleby·beaten 0.3 lengths3/1J·4.00SP
- 3rdAgamemnon (GB)Oisin Murphy·Richard Hughes·beaten 1.75 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
1m 11.02s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Arapaho Gold (IRE))
“raced freely and up with the pace early before being hampered after 1f - driven along beyond 2f out - made rapid progress to hit the front approaching the final furlong - challenged for the advantage late but held on comfortably”
AI top-rated Social Symbol (score 69.2) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way69.2/100 rating
Social Symbol
5.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: A Bear Affair
A Bear Affair heads this 10-runner Newbury Class 1 sprint over 6f on our figures and holds a clear advantage at the top, making it our selection. Social Symbol, Arapaho Gold and Agamemnon fill out the next three places on our figures and stand as the main dangers, keeping the race competitive behind the leader. Confidence is medium given how tightly that trio is grouped, but the merit gap from the top still points to A Bear Affair proving best of these.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Social Symbol
Jack Mitchell · Simon & Ed Crisford · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 69.2 · +3.5 clear of next best (65.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongSimon & Ed Crisford: 6/21 winners last 14d (29%)
- Ratings50% weight64averageOR 96 — above field median
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 1-4
MarketBest price 5.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.93
High (9–12)
IV 1.07
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 2yo · G · b | 11 | 92 | 65.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 7 2yo · C · ch | 1 | — | 43.0 | 3/1J·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Richard Hughes · draw 12 2yo · C · b | 618 | 89 | 55.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 11 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 3 2yo · C · b | 14 | 96 | 69.2 | 3/1J·4.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 8 2yo · C · ch | 15 | 89 | 52.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Tom Marquand · T: James Ferguson · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 10 | 87 | 54.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hughes · draw 11 2yo · C · b | — | — | 22.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9 2yo · C · b | 13762 | 97 | 58.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Jack Jones · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 50 | — | 17.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 105 | 88 | 51.2 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Luke Morris · T: Oli Rix · draw 5 2yo · C · bv | 41767 | 91 | 46.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 7124 | 92 | 60.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Newbury?
No — the AI top pick (Social Symbol) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:10 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Arapaho Gold (IRE) (5.00), 2. Nabati (IRE) (4.00), 3. Agamemnon (GB) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:10 Newbury?
The winning time was 1m 11.02s.
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