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RacingAlpha

16:45 Newbury

Bet On The Open With BetVictor Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £5,757 · Friday, 17 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 10th
  1. 1st
    Accademia (GB)
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Luminare (IRE)
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 0.2 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lightning Glory (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten .75 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 37.74s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Accademia (GB))

settled in mid-division - pushed along 2f out and shifted right for room - finished strongly through the last furlong - got up in the closing strides to score

AI top-rated Name The Day (score 59.9) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way57.4/100 rating
Lightning Glory
10.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Areti

Areti is our selection in this 10-runner Newbury Class 5 over 8f, preferred to the pair rated fractionally above it purely on a fitness edge rather than outright figures. Luminare and Starlight Sami head the figures and remain the chief dangers, with Pierpoint also included among the risks a little further back. Confidence is only low here given how little separates the principals, but the fitness edge tips it toward Areti on the day.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Name The Day

Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 59.9 · +2.5 clear of next best (57.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    65strong
    Eve Johnson Houghton: 8/31 winners last 14d (26%)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 4-9-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 30.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 10th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.16
High (8–10)
IV 0.86

Today: Name The Day (draw 7) and Rajiba (draw 6) get the bias; Accademia (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8
3yo · F · b
74451
7254.5
3/1F·4.00
SP
25
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 10
3yo · F · b
16232
7352.7
4/1·5.00
SP
38
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
4342
7157.4
9/1·10.00
SP
42
J: William Buick · T: Oliver Cole · draw 4
3yo · F · bt
22524
7553.5
8/1·9.00
SP
510
J: Connor Beasley · T: Jack Channon · draw 3
3yo · F · b
65375
6534.4
12/1·13.00
SP
64
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Richard Hughes · draw 6
3yo · F · b
423
7454.9
4/1·5.00
SP
77
J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 1
3yo · G · ch
28310
7142.7
17/2·9.50
SP
89
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Hilal Kobeissi · draw 5
3yo · G · ch
5438
7135.0
12/1·13.00
SP
93
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9
3yo · F · br
740
7543.0
25/1·26.00
SP
101
3yo · F · ch
491
7559.9
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Newbury on 17 July 2026?

Accademia (GB) won the 16:45 Newbury at SP 4.00. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Newbury?

No — the AI top pick (Name The Day) finished 10.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Accademia (GB) (4.00), 2. Luminare (IRE) (5.00), 3. Lightning Glory (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Newbury?

The winning time was 1m 37.74s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org