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17:48

Newmarket (July)

Great Britain

Racing Welfare Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Friday, 17 July 2026

1m·Flat·Class 4·7 runners·£5,154

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.074.2/100 rating
Cerro Blanco
1.13Bet365· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way25.6/100 rating
Vastern
9.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Cerro Blanco

Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

74.2/100
+39.0 vs next best (35.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 1-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    80very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 8/25 winners last 14d (32%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    69strong
    OR 104 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    77d since last run (rusty)
MarketBest price 1.13 (Bet365) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners

#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAIFairBest priceAdd to betslip
17
3yo · C · b
12
9-1110474.2
30/100·1.31
1/8·1.13Bet365
24
3yo · G · b
72476
9-044835.2
100/1·96.47+5% vs mkt
100/1·101.00Bet365
33
3yo · C · b
5
9-0414.5
33/1·34.54
33/1·34.00Bet365
42
3yo · G · b
64
9-0417.3
40/1·40.50
40·41.00SmarketsSBK
55
3yo · G · b
2
9-0425.6
15/2·8.34+8% vs mkt
8·9.00SmarketsSBK
61
3yo · F · b
8-1315.0
28/1·30.97
25/1·26.00William Hill
76
3yo · F · b
58
8-1311.8
50/1·48.83
40/1·41.00William Hill

Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 31 bookmakers per horse with the 19% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Welfare Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Racing Welfare Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 17:48 on 17 July 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:48 Newmarket (July)?

1m, Class 4, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:48 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Cerro Blanco (score 74.2, best price 1.13). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:48 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Cerro Blanco at a best price of 1.13.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org