Who won the 17:48 Newmarket (July) on 17 July 2026?
Livemore (GB) won the 17:48 Newmarket (July) at SP 2.88. Ridden by Connor Planas. Trained by T J Kent.
17:48 Newmarket (July)
Racing Welfare Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £5,154 · Friday, 17 July 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stLivemore (GB)Connor Planas·T J Kent15/8·2.88SP
- 2ndLa Mariposa (GB)Liam Wright·P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck·beaten 4.25 lengths33/1·34.00SP
- 3rdVastern (GB)Pat Cosgrave·Adam Kirby·beaten 3.75 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
Race time
1m 42.58s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Livemore (GB))
“tracked the pace-setter - was driven strongly over 3f out - was asked for effort and hit the front over 2f out - opened a decisive advantage over 1f out - was allowed to idle to the line for an easy win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way17.3/100 rating
Parc Dosne
8.00BetWright
Place portion settles at 2.75 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Cerro Blanco
Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 71.2 · +34.5 clear of next best (36.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight85very strongLast 6: 1-2
- Ratings50% weight69strongOR 104 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight65strongCharlie Appleby: 6/23 winners last 14d (26%)
- Freshness10% weight65strong77d since last run (rusty)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.05
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Connor Planas · T: T J Kent · draw 3 3yo · C · b | 5 | — | 14.5 | 15/8·2.88 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Liam Wright(5) · T: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 58 | — | 11.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 2 | — | 25.6 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: John Ryan · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 72476 | 48 | 36.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Matt Crawley · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 64 | — | 17.3 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: David Probert · T: Peter Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 3yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 7 3yo · C · b | 12 | 104 | 71.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:48 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Cerro Blanco) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 17:48 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Livemore (GB) (2.88), 2. La Mariposa (GB) (34.00), 3. Vastern (GB) (2.62).
What was the winning time for the 17:48 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 1m 42.58s.
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