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RacingAlpha

19:33 Newmarket (July)

Madness Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £6,442 · Friday, 17 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Rocking Ends (GB)
    Cieren Fallon·Tom Clover
    85/40·3.12
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Diomed Duke (GB)
    Ray Dawson·Stuart Williams·beaten 2 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Rogue Bullet (IRE)AI top pick · 55.2
    Billy Loughnane·James Owen·beaten 2.5 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
Race time
58.32s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Rocking Ends (GB))

“up with the pace in the middle of the field - moved through easily to hit the front inside the final furlong - drew away for a comfortable success”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way48.0/100 rating
Diomed Duke
5.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Rocking Ends

Rocking Ends, rated a clear 91, heads this competitive Class 4 sprint over the minimum trip. Three rivals are stacked closely behind him on our figures, leaving little to choose between them for the places. At medium confidence, Rocking Ends' rating edge over a deep field makes him the narrow selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rogue Bullet

Billy Loughnane · James Owen · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 55.2 · +7.2 clear of next best (48.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: 0-6-5-1-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    James Owen: 8/48 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 3.90 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.80
High (7–8)
IV 1.24

Today: Rogue Bullet (draw 8) and Travel Agent (draw 7) get the bias; Diomed Duke (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Rocking Ends
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Tom Clover · draw 4
6yo · G · grv
046457
8547.3
85/40·3.12
SP
25
Diomed Duke
J: Ray Dawson · T: Stuart Williams · draw 6
4yo · G · bt
47355
7248.0
100/30·4.33
SP
34
Rogue Bullet
J: Billy Loughnane · T: James Owen · draw 8
4yo · G · bp
06514
8055.2
2/1F·3.00
SP
46
Tuscan Point
J: William Carson · T: Adam Kirby · draw 3
4yo · G · bt
212470
7037.6
40/1·41.00
SP
58
Ecclefechan
J: Alice Bond(5) · T: John Ryan · draw 1
3yo · G · b
554986
6944.0
18/1·19.00
SP
63
Grandlad
J: David Probert · T: James Horton · draw 2
5yo · G · bt
25841
8245.1
11/2·6.50
SP
77
Travel Agent
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 7
4yo · G · b
112457
6942.1
20/1·21.00
SP
——
Valley Ofthe Kings
J: George Wood · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 5
5yo · G · bb
28792
8345.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:33 Newmarket (July) on 17 July 2026?

Rocking Ends (GB) won the 19:33 Newmarket (July) at SP 3.12. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by Tom Clover.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:33 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Rogue Bullet) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:33 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Rocking Ends (GB) (3.12), 2. Diomed Duke (GB) (4.33), 3. Rogue Bullet (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:33 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 58.32s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org