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RacingAlpha

EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 17 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/9F·1.44
  1. 1st
    Tawakal (FR)AI top pick · 29.5
    James Doyle·Simon & Ed Crisford
    4/9F·1.44
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Supreme Star (IRE)
    Benoit de la Sayette·Marco Botti·beaten 1.75 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Gold Reef City (GB)
    Rhys Clutterbuck·Ralph Beckett·beaten 7 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.99s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tawakal (FR))

settled in second - went to the front over 1f out - showed signs of inexperience but drew clear inside the final furlong - drifted left towards the finish but firmly in command

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.44 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Tawakal

James Doyle · Simon & Ed Crisford · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 29.5 · +2.5 clear of next best (27.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    Simon & Ed Crisford: 6/21 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.44 (William Hill) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.90
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.04
High (5–5)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: James Doyle · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
29.5
4/9F·1.44
SP
23
2yo · C · ch
6
21.0
25/1·26.00
SP
31
J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3
2yo · C · b
7
27.0
3/1·4.00
SP
42
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Ed Walker · draw 2
2yo · C · ch
24.0
17/2·9.50
SP
55
J: Ross Coakley · T: Michael Bell · draw 5
2yo · C · b
8
15.0
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:52 Nottingham on 17 July 2026?

Tawakal (FR) won the 14:52 Nottingham at SP 1.44. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by Simon & Ed Crisford.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:52 Nottingham?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Tawakal, won the race (AI score 29.5).

What were the placings in the 14:52 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Tawakal (FR) (1.44), 2. Supreme Star (IRE) (26.00), 3. Gold Reef City (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:52 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 11.99s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org