Who won the 15:27 Nottingham on 17 July 2026?
Al Sayah (GB) won the 15:27 Nottingham at SP 1.73. Ridden by Ashley Lewis. Trained by Neil Mulholland.
15:27 Nottingham
When You Wish Upon A Star Race Handicap Stakes
2m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 17 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stAl Sayah (GB)Ashley Lewis·Neil Mulholland8/11F·1.73SP
- 2ndSimiyann (IRE)Ryan Kavanagh·Ian Williams·beaten 3.5 lengths6/1·7.00SP
- 3rdMerrijig (GB)AI top pick · 59.9Jason Watson·John Berry·beaten 2.25 lengths3/1·4.00SP
Race time
3m 56.25s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Al Sayah (GB))
“settled in third - made ground on the front group before halfway and continued to gain ground over 4f out - went to the front over 2f out - driven out inside the final furlong and ran on strongly - holding sway when allowed to idle and came home comfortably towards the finish”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Merrijig
Merrijig is our selection, coming off a runner-up effort last time out and with today's 18-furlong trip already proven. He heads our figures by just a single pound from the next-best, and only two pounds cover the top three in this field, so it's unlikely to be straightforward. The bottom two are considerably further back on our figures, and with the form this tight, confidence in the selection is low — but Merrijig's placing and recent fitness give him a narrow edge.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Merrijig
Jason Watson · John Berry · 8yo
Top-rated of 5
score 59.9 · +20.4 clear of next best (39.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)John Berry: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 7-1-6-3-2
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 64 — above field median
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 2m2f
full course data →Strong: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.26).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.66
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.14
High (5–5)
IV 1.26
Today: Al Sayah (draw 5) gets the bias; Regally Blonde (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 41 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 5 6yo · M · bv | 00183 | 66 | 39.0 | 8/11F·1.73 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Ian Williams · draw 3 6yo · G · bv | 46004 | 58 | 39.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Jason Watson · T: John Berry · draw 4 8yo · G · bb | 71632 | 64 | 59.9 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Harry Davies · T: Ben Case · draw 1 7yo · M · chp | 77563 | 51 | 30.9 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Ed de Giles · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 96866 | 45 | 28.4 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:27 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Merrijig) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:27 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Al Sayah (GB) (1.73), 2. Simiyann (IRE) (7.00), 3. Merrijig (GB) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:27 Nottingham?
The winning time was 3m 56.25s.
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