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RacingAlpha

16:17 Newmarket (July)

Club 26 At Ascot Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £6,442 · Saturday, 18 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 13/2·7.50
  1. 1st
    Spring Bloom (GB)AI top pick · 64.6
    David Probert·John Butler
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Yes I'm Mali (GB)
    Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten 0.1 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Fenlander (GB)
    Christian Howarth·Pam Sly·beaten .75 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 10.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Spring Bloom (GB))

“settled towards the back - surged through the field from 1f out - shared the front inside the final 110yds - kept finding more to get there right on the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way64.6/100 rating
Spring Bloom
10.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Westmorian

Westmorian is a narrow pick on the figures, rated 84 and just three pounds the better of Expert Agent, with Yes I'm Mali and Generous Rascal both within striking distance too. It is a competitive contest and our confidence in the selection is only medium, so the form of the front three could easily be turned upside down. On balance, though, Westmorian's rating edge is enough to make him the selection over today's six furlongs on good to firm.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Spring Bloom

David Probert · John Butler · 9yo

Top-rated of 8
score 64.6 · +3.1 clear of next best (61.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    John Butler: 6/14 winners last 14d (43%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    65strong
    Last 6: 2-6-2-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 69
MarketBest price 10.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 5th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.80
High (7–8)
IV 1.24

Today: Expert Agent (draw 7) and Fenlander (draw 8) get the bias; Westmorian (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
Spring Bloom
J: David Probert · T: John Butler · draw 3
9yo · G · ch
26232
6964.6
13/2·7.50
SP
22
Yes I'm Mali
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 4
4yo · G · b
172502
8148.1
2/1F·3.00
SP
34
Fenlander
J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Pam Sly · draw 8
5yo · G · b
236111
7451.4
4/1·5.00
SP
43
Expert Agent
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 7
6yo · G · b
441216
8157.0
7/1·8.00
SP
55
Dashing Dick
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Stone · draw 5
8yo · G · bb
78836
7255.9
9/1·10.00
SP
61
Westmorian
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 6
7yo · G · b
0R874
8261.5
100/30·4.33
SP
78
Generous Rascal
J: Luke Morris · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2
3yo · G · bpFT P
33835
7144.7
28/1·29.00
SP
PU6
Lili Marleen
J: Hector Crouch · T: Jack Jones · draw 1
4yo · F · ch
3310F
7143.1
50/1·51.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:17 Newmarket (July) on 18 July 2026?

Spring Bloom (GB) won the 16:17 Newmarket (July) at SP 7.50. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by John Butler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:17 Newmarket (July)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Spring Bloom, won the race (AI score 64.6).

What were the placings in the 16:17 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Spring Bloom (GB) (7.50), 2. Yes I'm Mali (GB) (3.00), 3. Fenlander (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:17 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 10.68s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org