Who won the 16:57 Cartmel on 18 July 2026?
Forsa Bay (IRE) won the 16:57 Cartmel at SP 12.00. Ridden by Danny McMenamin. Trained by L J Morgan.
16:57 Cartmel
Shorefield Supplies Handicap Steeple Chase
2m1½f · Chase · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners · £3,327 · Saturday, 18 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stForsa Bay (IRE)Danny McMenamin·L J Morgan11/1·12.00SP
- 2ndGetaway Jewel (IRE)Brian Hughes·Micky Hammond·beaten 5.5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdClean Getaway (IRE)Joe Williamson·Philip Kirby·beaten 1.25 lengths8/1·9.00SP
Race time
4m 15.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Forsa Bay (IRE))
“well placed early and disputed the front after the sixth - untidy at the eighth - driven out approaching the last - ran on well to open a clear advantage”
AI top-rated Dexter (score 59.6) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way59.6/100 rating
Dexter
7.20Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Cuzco Du Mathan
Cuzco Du Mathan is the selection for this Class 5 contest at Cartmel over an extended trip on good ground, sitting top of our figures in an eight-runner field. Forsa Bay, Dexter and Blazing Court are the main dangers, all rated within a dozen pounds of the pick. Our confidence in the selection is medium, with the rating picture close enough among the dangers to warrant some caution. Cuzco Du Mathan is the selection, with the three dangers his likeliest conquerors.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dexter
Toby Wynne · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · 9yo
Top-rated of 8
score 59.6 · +3.5 clear of next best (56.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=8)Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 92 — above field median
- Form20% weight32weakLast 6: P-2-7-4-6
MarketBest price 7.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Danny McMenamin · T: L J Morgan · draw 0 6yo · G · bv | 3P35P | 91 | 41.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Brian Hughes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 0 12yo · G · b | 64232 | 76 | 45.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Joe Williamson · T: Philip Kirby · draw 0 9yo · G · bp | 51435 | 88 | 55.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Toby Wynne · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 0 9yo · G · btp | P2746 | 92 | 59.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Ryan Mania · T: Dianne Sayer · draw 0 6yo · M · b | 23254 | 76 | 45.7 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Jack Tudor · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 0 7yo · G · btp | 53535 | 80 | 56.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Mr John Dixon(7) · T: John Dixon · draw 0 8yo · G · bp | 05UUP | 78 | 46.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Leah Noreci(7) · T: James Moffatt · draw 0 8yo · G · grb | 76447 | 95 | 56.1 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:57 Cartmel?
No — the AI top pick (Dexter) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:57 Cartmel?
Top finishers: 1. Forsa Bay (IRE) (12.00), 2. Getaway Jewel (IRE) (6.50), 3. Clean Getaway (IRE) (9.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:57 Cartmel?
The winning time was 4m 15.27s.
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