Who won the 17:55 Nottingham on 18 July 2026?
Bay Dream Believer (IRE) won the 17:55 Nottingham at SP 19.00. Ridden by Kyle McHugh. Trained by Mark Walford.
17:55 Nottingham
Follow @Racingtv On X Haydock Park Training Series Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)
1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,449 · Saturday, 18 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stBay Dream Believer (IRE)Kyle McHugh·Mark Walford18/1·19.00SP
- 2ndPerfidia (IRE)Jake Dickson·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdNo Knee Never (IRE)AI top pick · 48.8Joe Bradnam·James Owen·beaten 1.5 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 44.33s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Bay Dream Believer (IRE))
“held up towards the back - asked for effort with 3f to run - made rapid progress with 1f to run and went on strongly to hit the front 110 yards out”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Popeye Doyle
Popeye Doyle is our selection at Nottingham, preferred to the top-rated No Knee Never on a progressive profile over today's 8f on good to firm. The form in this Class 5 six-runner race is tightly bunched, and No Knee Never, Tees George and Perfidia all loom as the chief dangers to keep him honest. It's a competitive renewal with confidence in the selection only medium, but Popeye Doyle's overall profile gets the vote.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
No Knee Never
Joe Bradnam(3) · James Owen · 5yo
Top-rated of 6
score 48.8 · +1.2 clear of next best (47.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight45below averageJames Owen: 9/50 winners last 14d (18%)
- Form20% weight34weakLast 6: 1-4-4-3-5-0
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.99
High (5–6)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Kyle McHugh(3) · T: Mark Walford · draw 4 7yo · M · bh | 005176 | 60 | 36.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Jake Dickson · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 4yo · G · bp | 135912 | 59 | 47.1 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Joe Bradnam(3) · T: James Owen · draw 6 5yo · G · btp | 144350 | 69 | 48.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Shay Farmer · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 1 6yo · G · bp | 341843 | 61 | 47.6 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Donagh Murphy · T: Ian Williams · draw 2 6yo · G · bv | 945219 | 59 | 41.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: Jessica Bedi · draw 3 4yo · G · btb | 60297 | 64 | 33.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:55 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (No Knee Never) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:55 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Bay Dream Believer (IRE) (19.00), 2. Perfidia (IRE) (3.00), 3. No Knee Never (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 17:55 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 44.33s.
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