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RacingAlpha

Join Racing Tv Now Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

1m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,400 · Saturday, 18 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/6F·1.67
  1. 1st
    Thursday Girl (GB)AI top pick · 60.0
    Ashley Lewis·Ed Walker
    4/6F·1.67
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Moonlit Surf (GB)
    Callum Rodriguez·Owen Burrows·beaten .5 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sedeirah (IRE)
    Cian Horgan·Edward Bethell·beaten 3.75 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
Race time
1m 45.37s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Thursday Girl (GB))

“led from the off - asked for effort with 2f to run - had to dig in under pressure with 1f left - found enough to deny the second by a narrow margin”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.67 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Thursday Girl

Ashley Lewis(5) · Ed Walker · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 60.0 · +8.0 clear of next best (51.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 5-2-2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Ed Walker: 7/35 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.99
High (5–5)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Ed Walker · draw 1
3yo · F · b
5222
7660.0
4/6F·1.67
SP
22
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 3
3yo · F · b
6654
7351.9
3/1·4.00
SP
33
J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
62
—33.7
18/1·19.00
SP
44
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 4
3yo · F · b
——26.5
11/2·6.50
SP
51
J: Harry Davies · T: Roger Varian · draw 5
3yo · F · b
——26.5
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:08 Nottingham on 18 July 2026?

Thursday Girl (GB) won the 20:08 Nottingham at SP 1.67. Ridden by Ashley Lewis. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:08 Nottingham?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Thursday Girl, won the race (AI score 60.0).

What were the placings in the 20:08 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Thursday Girl (GB) (1.67), 2. Moonlit Surf (GB) (4.00), 3. Sedeirah (IRE) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:08 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 45.37s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org